Prediction: Leyton Orient vs Plymouth
Team pages: Leyton Orient · Plymouth
- Leyton Orient1-3Plymouth
- Leyton Orient0-1Plymouth
- Plymouth0-1Leyton Orient
- Plymouth2-0Leyton Orient
- Leyton Orient3-2Plymouth
- Plymouth4-0Leyton Orient
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth (rating 1438 vs 1550).
- H2H favours Plymouth: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leyton Orient | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leyton Orient 2–0–4 Plymouth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/26 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Plymouth |
| 02/12/25 England EFL Trophy | Leyton Orient | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Plymouth |
| 19/08/25 England League 1 | Plymouth | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Leyton Orient |
| 08/08/23 England EFL Cup | Plymouth | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Leyton Orient |
| 15/09/20 England EFL Cup | Leyton Orient | 3-2 HT 0-2 | Plymouth |
| 22/10/19 England League 2 | Plymouth | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Leyton Orient |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheff Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stockport | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 10 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 12 | Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leyton Orient | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Wycombe | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Barnsley | 1-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Burton Albion | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Blackpool | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Plymouth (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyton Orient
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Wycombe England League 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | Bromley England League 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 22/08 | Wigan England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Plymouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Barnsley England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Bradford England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Northampton England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Plymouth win (43%). Probabilities: Leyton Orient 32%, draw 26%, Plymouth 43%.
How many goals are expected in Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Leyton Orient 1.4 · Plymouth 1.65), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs Plymouth?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.