Prediction: Stockport vs Barnsley
Team pages: Stockport · Barnsley
- Barnsley1-3Stockport
- Stockport1-1Barnsley
- Stockport2-1Barnsley
- Barnsley1-1Stockport
| Stockport | Draw | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 19% | 12% |
| Market | 69% | 19% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stockport (rating 1543 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Stockport: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stockport | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.4 | 3.7 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stockport 2–2–0 Barnsley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 England League 1 | Barnsley | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Stockport |
| 29/11/25 England League 1 | Stockport | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Barnsley |
| 08/02/25 England League 1 | Stockport | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Barnsley |
| 28/09/24 England League 1 | Barnsley | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Stockport |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheff Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton Albion | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stockport | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 3-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Luton | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Blackpool | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Plymouth | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Stevenage | 2-0 W | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Barnsley (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stockport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Luton England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Bolton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Stevenage England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Bromley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stockport vs Barnsley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stockport win (69%). Probabilities: Stockport 69%, draw 19%, Barnsley 12%.
How many goals are expected in Stockport vs Barnsley?
The model expects 3.44 goals (Stockport 2.46 · Barnsley 0.98), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stockport vs Barnsley?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.