Football · England League 1 · 10/10, 16:00
Prediction: Wycombe vs Luton
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Wycombe1.61
Luton1.76
1X2
Wycombe
Draw
Luton
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Wycombe
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Luton
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wycombe
0–6
Luton
(6 last)
- Wycombe1-2Luton
- Luton4-0Wycombe
- Wycombe1-3Luton
- Luton2-0Wycombe
- Luton3-0Wycombe
- Luton2-0Wycombe
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wycombe 1485 · Luton 1528
| Wycombe | Draw | Luton | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 25% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luton (rating 1485 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Luton: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wycombe | Luton | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.2 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.8 | 2.7 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wycombe 0–0–6 Luton
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England League 1 | Wycombe | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Luton |
| 26/12/25 England League 1 | Luton | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Wycombe |
| 10/04/21 England Championship | Wycombe | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Luton |
| 03/10/20 England Championship | Luton | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Wycombe |
| 09/02/19 England League 1 | Luton | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Wycombe |
| 10/11/18 England FA Cup | Luton | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Wycombe |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheff Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton Albion | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wycombe | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| Reading | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| Leyton Orient | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Stockport | 1-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Rotherham | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Luton (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wycombe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Rotherham England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
Luton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 7 | L |
| 10/09 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 02/09 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Notts County England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 15/08 | Reading England League 1 |
1-3 | 4-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Bolton England League 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Barnsley England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 21/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wycombe vs Luton?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Luton win (40%). Probabilities: Wycombe 34%, draw 26%, Luton 40%.
How many goals are expected in Wycombe vs Luton?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Wycombe 1.61 · Luton 1.76), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wycombe vs Luton?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.