Football · England League 1 · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Reading vs Bradford

Team pages: Reading · Bradford

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Reading1.19
Bradford1.07
1X2
38% 30% 32%
Reading Draw Bradford
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Reading 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLLDWWLWD
Bradford 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
WLLWWLLWWW
Head-to-head
Reading 2–1–1 Bradford (4 last)
  • Reading2-1Bradford
  • Bradford2-0Reading
  • Reading3-0Bradford
  • Bradford0-0Reading
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reading 1502 · Bradford 1565
ReadingDrawBradford
Our model38%31%31%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bradford (rating 1502 vs 1565).
  • H2H favours Reading: 2-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ReadingBradford
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.40.9 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.30.3 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 4.93.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Reading 2–1–1 Bradford

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
England League 1
Reading2-1
HT 0-0
Bradford
13/12/25
England League 1
Bradford2-0
HT 0-0
Reading
16/03/15
England FA Cup
Reading3-0
HT 2-0
Bradford
07/03/15
England FA Cup
Bradford0-0
HT 0-0
Reading

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Bradford 7502 7415
2 Sheff Wed 7421 13614
3 Plymouth 7412 141013
4 Huddersfield 7331 11612
5 Cambridge Utd 7331 121012
6 Oxford Utd 6321 13711
7 AFC Wimbledon 7322 5711
8 Reading 6312 14710
9 Stockport 7313 161010
10 Leyton Orient 7313 13910
11 Stevenage 7232 1189
12 Burton Albion 7232 12129
13 Leicester 7232 9119
14 Wycombe 7232 11149
15 Blackpool 7223 13138
16 Luton 7223 12148
17 Mansfield 7223 10138
18 Barnsley 7223 7128
19 Bromley 7223 8188
20 Notts County 7142 797
21 Doncaster 7133 896
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7061 8106
23 Peterborough 7124 4125
24 Wigan 7115 5124

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReadingBradford
Notts County 2-0 W 1-0 W
Cambridge Utd 1-2 L 1-2 L
Mansfield 5-0 W 1-0 W
Luton 3-4 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Reading (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reading

LDLLDWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Wycombe
England League 1
0-0 2-2 75 D
19/09 Notts County
England League 1
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/09 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
1-0 1-2 33 L
05/09 Blackpool
England League 1
1-0 3-1 61 W
02/09 Mansfield
England League 1
3-0 5-0 51 W
22/08 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
0-0 0-0 75 D
15/08 Luton
England League 1
3-1 3-4 53 L
02/05 Blackpool
England League 1
0-0 0-1 31 L
25/04 Rotherham
England League 1
0-1 1-1 25 D
18/04 Cardiff
England League 1
0-1 1-3 77 L

Bradford

WLLWWLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Luton
England League 1
1-0 1-0 37 W
12/09 Notts County
England League 1
0-0 1-0 48 W
05/09 Mansfield
England League 1
1-0 1-0 44 W
01/09 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
0-0 1-2 121 L
29/08 Plymouth
England League 1
0-1 0-2 63 L
20/08 Sheff Wed
England League 1
0-0 1-0 92 W
15/08 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 2-0 75 W
14/05 Bolton
England League 1
0-0 0-1 81 L
09/05 Bolton
England League 1
0-0 0-1 42 L
02/05 Exeter
England League 1
1-0 2-1 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reading vs Bradford?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reading win (38%). Probabilities: Reading 38%, draw 30%, Bradford 32%.

How many goals are expected in Reading vs Bradford?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Reading 1.19 · Bradford 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Reading vs Bradford?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.