Football · England League 1 · 17/10, 13:30

Prediction: Peterborough vs Burton Albion

Team pages: Peterborough · Burton Albion

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Peterborough1.7
Burton Albion1.15
1X2
50% 25% 25%
Peterborough Draw Burton Albion
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Peterborough 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLDLLW
Burton Albion 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWDLDWLL
Head-to-head
Peterborough 3–2–1 Burton Albion (6 last)
  • Peterborough1-1Burton Albion
  • Burton Albion0-1Peterborough
  • Burton Albion2-2Peterborough
  • Peterborough0-1Burton Albion
  • Burton Albion1-3Peterborough
  • Peterborough4-0Burton Albion
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Peterborough 1504 · Burton Albion 1480
PeterboroughDrawBurton Albion
Our model49%26%25%
Market50%25%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Peterborough: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PeterboroughBurton Albion
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.71.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.62.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.13.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough 3–2–1 Burton Albion

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/04/26
England League 1
Peterborough1-1
HT 0-1
Burton Albion
18/10/25
England League 1
Burton Albion0-1
HT 0-0
Peterborough
01/01/25
England League 1
Burton Albion2-2
HT 2-1
Peterborough
04/12/24
England League 1
Peterborough0-1
HT 0-0
Burton Albion
09/03/24
England League 1
Burton Albion1-3
HT 0-0
Peterborough
25/11/23
England League 1
Peterborough4-0
HT 2-0
Burton Albion

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Plymouth 10613 181219
2 Bradford 9522 8517
3 Stockport 9513 201116
4 Huddersfield 9441 16916
5 Cambridge Utd 9441 141116
6 Reading 9432 221115
7 Sheff Wed 8431 15815
8 Oxford Utd 7421 15814
9 Stevenage 8332 12812
10 Burton Albion 10334 141612
11 AFC Wimbledon 9333 71012
12 Leyton Orient 9324 131111
13 Luton 8323 161511
14 Mansfield 8323 121411
15 Wycombe 9243 142010
16 Doncaster 8233 999
17 Leicester 8233 10149
18 Blackpool 8224 13148
19 Barnsley 8224 8158
20 Peterborough 9225 7148
21 Bromley 8224 9208
22 Notts County 8143 8117
23 Milton Keynes Dons 8062 9156
24 Wigan 8116 5134

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPeterboroughBurton Albion
Leicester 3-1 W 2-1 W
Doncaster 0-2 L 0-1 L
Stevenage 0-0 D 1-1 D
Mansfield 2-1 W 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Peterborough (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Peterborough

LLWLDLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Leicester
England League 1
3-0 3-1 81 W
26/09 Stockport
England League 1
0-0 0-1 44 L
19/09 Doncaster
England League 1
0-1 0-2 83 L
12/09 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
0-1 1-1 92 D
05/09 Sheff Wed
England League 1
0-1 1-2 45 L
01/09 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
29/08 Blackpool
England League 1
0-2 0-4 50 L
22/08 Mansfield
England League 1
0-0 2-1 64 W
15/08 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-2 35 L
02/05 Doncaster
England League 1
0-0 1-3 64 L

Burton Albion

DWLWDLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 Doncaster
England League 1
0-1 0-1 125 L
03/10 Huddersfield
England League 1
1-2 1-3 12 L
26/09 Plymouth
England League 1
0-0 1-0 46 W
19/09 Mansfield
England League 1
2-1 2-2 46 D
12/09 Oxford Utd
England League 1
0-0 0-3 52 L
05/09 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
1-1 2-2 23 D
02/09 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
2-1 4-1 42 W
29/08 Notts County
England League 1
1-0 1-2 16 L
22/08 Leicester
England League 1
2-1 2-1 35 W
15/08 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 1-1 20 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Peterborough win (50%). Probabilities: Peterborough 50%, draw 25%, Burton Albion 25%.

How many goals are expected in Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Peterborough 1.7 · Burton Albion 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Peterborough vs Burton Albion?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.