Football · England League 1 · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Blackpool vs Mansfield

Team pages: Blackpool · Mansfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Blackpool1.6

Mansfield1.52

1X2

38% 26% 35%

Blackpool Draw Mansfield

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Blackpool 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLDLLL

Mansfield 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWLLDDWD

Head-to-head

Blackpool 1–2–3 Mansfield (6 last)

Blackpool1-0Mansfield
Mansfield2-0Blackpool
Blackpool3-3Mansfield
Mansfield2-0Blackpool
Blackpool1-1Mansfield
Blackpool0-1Mansfield

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blackpool 1453 · Mansfield 1468

	Blackpool	Draw	Mansfield
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	38%	27%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Mansfield: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Blackpool	Mansfield
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.1	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.40

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:11 +17’	2.40	3.40	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Blackpool 1–2–3 Mansfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/02/26 England League 1	Blackpool	1-0 HT 1-0	Mansfield
19/08/25 England League 1	Mansfield	2-0 HT 0-0	Blackpool
15/02/25 England League 1	Blackpool	3-3 HT 1-2	Mansfield
05/10/24 England League 1	Mansfield	2-0 HT 2-0	Blackpool
06/12/17 England EFL Trophy	Blackpool	1-1 HT 1-0	Mansfield
02/01/17 England League 2	Blackpool	0-1 HT 0-1	Mansfield

Standings · England League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bradford	10	6	2	2	10	5	20
2	Stockport	10	6	1	3	21	11	19
3	Huddersfield	10	5	4	1	18	9	19
4	Plymouth	11	6	1	4	18	14	19
5	Cambridge Utd	10	5	4	1	16	12	19
6	Sheff Wed	9	5	3	1	20	8	18
7	Reading	10	4	3	3	22	12	15
8	Oxford Utd	8	4	3	1	16	9	15
9	Leyton Orient	10	4	2	4	15	11	14
10	Burton Albion	11	3	4	4	16	18	13
11	Wycombe	10	3	4	3	16	20	13
12	Stevenage	9	3	3	3	12	10	12
13	Mansfield	9	3	3	3	13	15	12
14	Leicester	9	3	3	3	12	15	12
15	AFC Wimbledon	10	3	3	4	7	15	12
16	Luton	9	3	2	4	17	17	11
17	Doncaster	9	2	3	4	10	11	9
18	Milton Keynes Dons	9	1	6	2	11	16	9
19	Peterborough	10	2	3	5	9	16	9
20	Blackpool	9	2	2	5	13	16	8
21	Barnsley	9	2	2	5	9	17	8
22	Bromley	9	2	2	5	9	21	8
23	Notts County	9	1	4	4	8	13	7
24	Wigan	9	2	1	6	6	13	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Blackpool	Mansfield
Bromley	2-2 D	2-1 W
Reading	1-3 L	0-5 L
Peterborough	4-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Blackpool (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blackpool

WDWWLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Leyton Orient England League 1	0-1	0-2	11	4	L
10/10	Cambridge Utd England League 1	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
19/09	Plymouth England League 1	1-1	2-4	3	3	L
12/09	Bromley England League 1	2-1	2-2	12	1	D
05/09	Reading England League 1	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
02/09	Barnsley England League 1	0-0	1-2	4	7	L
29/08	Peterborough England League 1	2-0	4-0	3	0	W
22/08	Stockport England League 1	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Wycombe England League 1	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
02/05	Reading England League 1	0-0	1-0	8	1	W

Mansfield

WWLWLLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	Oxford Utd England League 1	0-1	1-1	11	6	D
10/10	Bromley England League 1	1-1	2-1	7	7	W
19/09	Burton Albion England League 1	1-2	2-2	5	6	D
12/09	Huddersfield England League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
05/09	Bradford England League 1	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
02/09	Reading England League 1	0-3	0-5	2	1	L
30/08	Luton England League 1	3-0	5-2	4	6	W
22/08	Peterborough England League 1	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Doncaster England League 1	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
02/05	Cardiff England League 1	3-0	5-4	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blackpool vs Mansfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blackpool win (38%). Probabilities: Blackpool 38%, draw 26%, Mansfield 35%.

How many goals are expected in Blackpool vs Mansfield?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Blackpool 1.6 · Mansfield 1.52), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Blackpool vs Mansfield?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.