Football · England League 1 · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Cambridge Utd vs Plymouth
Team pages: Cambridge Utd · Plymouth
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Cambridge Utd1.51
Plymouth1.48
1X2
Cambridge Utd
Draw
Plymouth
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Cambridge Utd
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Plymouth
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cambridge Utd
2–3–1
Plymouth
(6 last)
- Plymouth3-1Cambridge Utd
- Cambridge Utd0-0Plymouth
- Cambridge Utd2-0Plymouth
- Plymouth1-1Cambridge Utd
- Plymouth0-0Cambridge Utd
- Cambridge Utd1-0Plymouth
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cambridge Utd 1569 · Plymouth 1533
| Cambridge Utd | Draw | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cambridge Utd: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cambridge Utd | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 7.4 | 1.9 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cambridge Utd 2–3–1 Plymouth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/23 England League 1 | Plymouth | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Cambridge Utd |
| 10/12/22 England League 1 | Cambridge Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Plymouth |
| 22/02/22 England League 1 | Cambridge Utd | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Plymouth |
| 17/08/21 England League 1 | Plymouth | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cambridge Utd |
| 22/02/20 England League 2 | Plymouth | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cambridge Utd |
| 07/12/19 England League 2 | Cambridge Utd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Plymouth |
Standings · England League 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Stockport | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 8 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 22 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cambridge Utd | Plymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Barnsley | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Blackpool | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| AFC Wimbledon | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Burton Albion | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Bradford | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Huddersfield | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Plymouth (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cambridge Utd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 10/10 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Oxford Utd England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Reading England League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Bromley England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Wigan England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
Plymouth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/10 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Barnsley England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Bradford England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cambridge Utd vs Plymouth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cambridge Utd win (37%). Probabilities: Cambridge Utd 37%, draw 27%, Plymouth 36%.
How many goals are expected in Cambridge Utd vs Plymouth?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Cambridge Utd 1.51 · Plymouth 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cambridge Utd vs Plymouth?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.