Football · England League 1 · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe
Team pages: AFC Wimbledon · Wycombe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
AFC Wimbledon1.13
Wycombe1.43
1X2
AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Wycombe
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Wimbledon
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Wycombe
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Wimbledon
2–2–2
Wycombe
(6 last)
- Wycombe2-0AFC Wimbledon
- AFC Wimbledon2-1Wycombe
- AFC Wimbledon1-0Wycombe
- Wycombe1-0AFC Wimbledon
- AFC Wimbledon1-1Wycombe
- Wycombe2-2AFC Wimbledon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Wimbledon 1470 · Wycombe 1527
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Wycombe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 29% | 43% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wycombe (rating 1470 vs 1527).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Wimbledon | Wycombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Wimbledon 2–2–2 Wycombe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/26 England League 1 | Wycombe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 27/09/25 England League 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Wycombe |
| 20/08/24 England EFL Trophy | AFC Wimbledon | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wycombe |
| 18/11/23 England EFL Trophy | Wycombe | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 18/04/22 England League 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Wycombe |
| 11/12/21 England League 1 | Wycombe | 2-2 HT 0-1 | AFC Wimbledon |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Stockport | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 8 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 22 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Wimbledon | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| Sheff Wed | 0-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Plymouth | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 0-0 D | 3-3 D |
| Wigan | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Reading | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Wycombe (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Wimbledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Plymouth England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/09 | Bromley England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Wycombe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Notts County England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Luton England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Wycombe win (43%). Probabilities: AFC Wimbledon 29%, draw 28%, Wycombe 43%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?
The model expects 2.55 goals (AFC Wimbledon 1.13 · Wycombe 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.