Football · England League 1 · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient

Team pages: Burton Albion · Leyton Orient

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Burton Albion1.41

Leyton Orient1.41

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Burton Albion Draw Leyton Orient

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Burton Albion 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDLDWLLD

Leyton Orient 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDLWLDW

Head-to-head

Burton Albion 2–3–1 Leyton Orient (6 last)

Leyton Orient2-2Burton Albion
Burton Albion0-4Leyton Orient
Burton Albion2-1Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient0-0Burton Albion
Leyton Orient1-2Burton Albion
Burton Albion0-0Leyton Orient

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burton Albion 1491 · Leyton Orient 1501

	Burton Albion	Draw	Leyton Orient
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Burton Albion: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Burton Albion	Leyton Orient
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4	2.2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	4.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.25

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +9’	2.55	3.25	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burton Albion 2–3–1 Leyton Orient

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 England League 1	Leyton Orient	2-2 HT 1-1	Burton Albion
29/11/25 England League 1	Burton Albion	0-4 HT 0-2	Leyton Orient
01/04/25 England League 1	Burton Albion	2-1 HT 0-1	Leyton Orient
14/12/24 England League 1	Leyton Orient	0-0 HT 0-0	Burton Albion
17/02/24 England League 1	Leyton Orient	1-2 HT 1-0	Burton Albion
28/10/23 England League 1	Burton Albion	0-0 HT 0-0	Leyton Orient

Standings · England League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bradford	10	6	2	2	10	5	20
2	Stockport	10	6	1	3	21	11	19
3	Huddersfield	10	5	4	1	18	9	19
4	Plymouth	11	6	1	4	18	14	19
5	Cambridge Utd	10	5	4	1	16	12	19
6	Sheff Wed	9	5	3	1	20	8	18
7	Reading	10	4	3	3	22	12	15
8	Oxford Utd	8	4	3	1	16	9	15
9	Leyton Orient	10	4	2	4	15	11	14
10	Burton Albion	11	3	4	4	16	18	13
11	Wycombe	10	3	4	3	16	20	13
12	Stevenage	9	3	3	3	12	10	12
13	Mansfield	9	3	3	3	13	15	12
14	Leicester	9	3	3	3	12	15	12
15	AFC Wimbledon	10	3	3	4	7	15	12
16	Luton	9	3	2	4	17	17	11
17	Doncaster	9	2	3	4	10	11	9
18	Milton Keynes Dons	9	1	6	2	11	16	9
19	Peterborough	10	2	3	5	9	16	9
20	Blackpool	9	2	2	5	13	16	8
21	Barnsley	9	2	2	5	9	17	8
22	Bromley	9	2	2	5	9	21	8
23	Notts County	9	1	4	4	8	13	7
24	Wigan	9	2	1	6	6	13	7

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burton Albion

WLWDLDWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Peterborough England League 1	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
10/10	Doncaster England League 1	0-1	0-1	12	5	L
03/10	Huddersfield England League 1	1-2	1-3	1	2	L
26/09	Plymouth England League 1	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
19/09	Mansfield England League 1	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
12/09	Oxford Utd England League 1	0-0	0-3	5	2	L
05/09	Cambridge Utd England League 1	1-1	2-2	2	3	D
02/09	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
29/08	Notts County England League 1	1-0	1-2	1	6	L
22/08	Leicester England League 1	2-1	2-1	3	5	W

Leyton Orient

LWLWDLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Blackpool England League 1	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
10/10	Bradford England League 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
03/10	Plymouth England League 1	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
19/09	Stevenage England League 1	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
12/09	Wycombe England League 1	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
05/09	Luton England League 1	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
01/09	Bromley England League 1	1-0	5-0	4	5	W
29/08	Barnsley England League 1	0-1	1-3	4	8	L
22/08	Wigan England League 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Sheff Wed England League 1	1-1	1-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burton Albion win (36%). Probabilities: Burton Albion 36%, draw 28%, Leyton Orient 36%.

How many goals are expected in Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Burton Albion 1.41 · Leyton Orient 1.41), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.