Prediction: Reading vs Barnsley
Team pages: Reading · Barnsley
- Reading2-2Barnsley
- Barnsley3-2Reading
- Reading2-4Barnsley
- Barnsley2-2Reading
- Barnsley2-2Reading
- Reading1-3Barnsley
| Reading | Draw | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reading (rating 1493 vs 1426).
- H2H favours Barnsley: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reading | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 5.4 | 4.2 / 8.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 5.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reading 0–3–3 Barnsley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 England League 1 | Reading | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Barnsley |
| 13/09/25 England League 1 | Barnsley | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Reading |
| 03/05/25 England League 1 | Reading | 2-4 HT 0-0 | Barnsley |
| 26/11/24 England League 1 | Barnsley | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Reading |
| 13/04/24 England League 1 | Barnsley | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Reading |
| 09/12/23 England League 1 | Reading | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Barnsley |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Stockport | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 8 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 22 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reading | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge Utd | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Blackpool | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Reading (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reading
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/09 | Mansfield England League 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Luton England League 1 |
3-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 10/10 | Stockport England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Stevenage England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 02/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Bromley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reading vs Barnsley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Reading win (60%). Probabilities: Reading 60%, draw 22%, Barnsley 19%.
How many goals are expected in Reading vs Barnsley?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Reading 2.28 · Barnsley 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Reading vs Barnsley?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.