Football · England League 1 · 20/10, 20:45
Prediction: Burton Albion vs Bradford
Team pages: Burton Albion · Bradford
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.27Total
Burton Albion0.95
Bradford1.33
1X2
Burton Albion
Draw
Bradford
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Burton Albion
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Bradford
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Burton Albion
3–1–2
Bradford
(6 last)
- Burton Albion2-1Bradford
- Bradford1-2Burton Albion
- Burton Albion4-0Bradford
- Burton Albion1-1Bradford
- Bradford1-0Burton Albion
- Bradford2-0Burton Albion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Burton Albion 1491 · Bradford 1572
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bradford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 31% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 28% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bradford (rating 1491 vs 1572).
- H2H favours Burton Albion: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Burton Albion | Bradford | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 3.8 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Burton Albion 3–1–2 Bradford
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England League 1 | Burton Albion | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Bradford |
| 08/11/25 England League 1 | Bradford | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Burton Albion |
| 18/10/22 England EFL Trophy | Burton Albion | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Bradford |
| 26/01/19 England League 1 | Burton Albion | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Bradford |
| 21/08/18 England League 1 | Bradford | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Burton Albion |
| 08/03/16 England League 1 | Bradford | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Burton Albion |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Stockport | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 8 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 22 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Burton Albion | Bradford |
|---|---|---|
| Peterborough | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Plymouth | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Mansfield | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Cambridge Utd | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Notts County | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bradford (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Burton Albion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Mansfield England League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Oxford Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/09 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Notts County England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Leicester England League 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Bradford
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | Reading England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Luton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 05/09 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Burton Albion vs Bradford?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bradford win (45%). Probabilities: Burton Albion 26%, draw 29%, Bradford 45%.
How many goals are expected in Burton Albion vs Bradford?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Burton Albion 0.95 · Bradford 1.33), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs Bradford?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.