Football · England League 1 · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Sheff Wed vs Cambridge Utd

Team pages: Sheff Wed · Cambridge Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Sheff Wed1.7

Cambridge Utd1.21

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Sheff Wed Draw Cambridge Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sheff Wed 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDDWLL

Cambridge Utd 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDDWWDL

Head-to-head

Sheff Wed 3–2–0 Cambridge Utd (5 last)

Sheff Wed5-0Cambridge Utd
Cambridge Utd0-2Sheff Wed
Sheff Wed6-0Cambridge Utd
Cambridge Utd1-1Sheff Wed
Cambridge Utd1-1Sheff Wed

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sheff Wed 1534 · Cambridge Utd 1544

	Sheff Wed	Draw	Cambridge Utd
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	48%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sheff Wed: 3-2-0.
High corners: 14.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sheff Wed	Cambridge Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2.9 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 1.91▼	Pinn 2.01
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.76 ★
2	3.20 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:44 +10’	2.05	3.40	3.20
16:30 +2’	1.91▼	3.50▲	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:06 +108’	2.06	3.71	3.32
14:50 +101’	2.01▼	3.76▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sheff Wed 3–2–0 Cambridge Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/01/23 England League 1	Sheff Wed	5-0 HT 2-0	Cambridge Utd
15/10/22 England League 1	Cambridge Utd	0-2 HT 0-1	Sheff Wed
12/03/22 England League 1	Sheff Wed	6-0 HT 4-0	Cambridge Utd
19/10/21 England League 1	Cambridge Utd	1-1 HT 1-0	Sheff Wed
09/08/16 England EFL Cup	Cambridge Utd	1-1 HT 0-0	Sheff Wed

Standings · England League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huddersfield	12	7	4	1	24	11	25
2	Stockport	12	7	2	3	24	12	23
3	Bradford	12	6	4	2	10	5	22
4	Plymouth	13	7	1	5	21	19	22
5	Reading	12	6	3	3	25	13	21
6	Cambridge Utd	12	5	5	2	20	17	20
7	Oxford Utd	10	5	4	1	18	10	19
8	Sheff Wed	11	5	3	3	20	12	18
9	Mansfield	11	5	3	3	20	16	18
10	Luton	11	5	2	4	21	19	17
11	Burton Albion	13	4	5	4	18	19	17
12	Stevenage	11	4	3	4	15	11	15
13	Leicester	11	4	3	4	17	17	15
14	Wycombe	12	3	6	3	19	23	15
15	Leyton Orient	12	4	2	6	16	14	14
16	AFC Wimbledon	12	3	4	5	8	19	13
17	Doncaster	11	3	3	5	12	13	12
18	Milton Keynes Dons	11	2	6	3	12	18	12
19	Notts County	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
20	Blackpool	11	3	2	6	16	20	11
21	Peterborough	12	2	4	6	11	21	10
22	Bromley	11	2	3	6	10	26	9
23	Barnsley	11	2	2	7	11	21	8
24	Wigan	11	2	1	8	8	17	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sheff Wed	Cambridge Utd
AFC Wimbledon	5-0 W	1-1 D
Huddersfield	2-2 D	1-2 L
Wycombe	2-1 W	2-2 D
Bradford	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sheff Wed (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sheff Wed

LWWWDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Doncaster England League 1	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
20/10	Notts County England League 1	0-1	0-2	0	5	L
17/10	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	3-0	5-0	2	3	W
10/10	Huddersfield England League 1	0-0	2-2	8	5	D
19/09	Stockport England League 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/09	Wigan England League 1	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
05/09	Peterborough England League 1	1-0	2-1	9	5	W
01/09	Wycombe England League 1	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
29/08	Bromley England League 1	3-0	7-2	5	3	W
20/08	Bradford England League 1	0-0	0-1	8	2	L

Cambridge Utd

LWDWDDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Plymouth England League 1	0-1	2-3	13	4	L
20/10	Wycombe England League 1	0-1	2-2	12	4	D
17/10	Barnsley England League 1	0-1	2-1	11	7	W
10/10	Blackpool England League 1	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
26/09	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
19/09	Oxford Utd England League 1	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Reading England League 1	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
05/09	Burton Albion England League 1	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
01/09	Bradford England League 1	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
29/08	Huddersfield England League 1	0-0	1-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sheff Wed vs Cambridge Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sheff Wed win (48%). Probabilities: Sheff Wed 48%, draw 26%, Cambridge Utd 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sheff Wed vs Cambridge Utd?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Sheff Wed 1.7 · Cambridge Utd 1.21), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sheff Wed vs Cambridge Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.