Football · England League 1 · 27/10, 20:45

Prediction: Oxford Utd vs Stockport

Team pages: Oxford Utd · Stockport

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Oxford Utd1.17
Stockport1.65
1X2
27% 26% 48%
Oxford Utd Draw Stockport
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oxford Utd 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWLWWDWDWD
Stockport 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWLDWWWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oxford Utd 1555 · Stockport 1582
Oxford UtdDrawStockport
Our model26%27%47%
Market27%25%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oxford UtdStockport
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 12 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.20.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.63.2 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.33.2 / 0

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huddersfield 12741 241125
2 Stockport 12723 241223
3 Bradford 12642 10522
4 Plymouth 13715 211922
5 Reading 12633 251321
6 Cambridge Utd 12552 201720
7 Oxford Utd 10541 181019
8 Sheff Wed 11533 201218
9 Mansfield 11533 201618
10 Luton 11524 211917
11 Burton Albion 13454 181917
12 Stevenage 11434 151115
13 Leicester 11434 171715
14 Wycombe 12363 192315
15 Leyton Orient 12426 161414
16 AFC Wimbledon 12345 81913
17 Doncaster 11335 121312
18 Milton Keynes Dons 11263 121812
19 Notts County 11254 111411
20 Blackpool 11326 162011
21 Peterborough 12246 112110
22 Bromley 11236 10269
23 Barnsley 11227 11218
24 Wigan 11218 8177

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOxford UtdStockport
Wigan 2-1 W 4-0 W
Notts County 2-1 W 1-1 D
Leicester 4-0 W 3-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Oxford Utd (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oxford Utd

DWLWWDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-0 52 D
20/10 Wigan
England League 1
1-0 2-1 97 W
15/10 Mansfield
England League 1
1-0 1-1 36 D
10/10 Notts County
England League 1
1-0 2-1 49 W
19/09 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
1-0 1-1 56 D
12/09 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-0 3-0 22 W
05/09 Leicester
England League 1
1-0 4-0 52 W
01/09 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-0 1-3 04 L
22/08 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 2-1 –– W
15/08 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
1-2 2-2 85 D

Stockport

WLWLDWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Notts County
England League 1
0-1 1-1 86 D
20/10 Doncaster
England League 1
0-0 2-0 64 W
17/10 Bromley
England League 1
1-0 1-0 73 W
10/10 Barnsley
England League 1
0-1 3-1 113 W
26/09 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 1-0 64 W
19/09 Sheff Wed
England League 1
0-0 0-0 54 D
12/09 Leicester
England League 1
1-2 3-4 83 L
05/09 Wigan
England League 1
3-0 4-0 53 W
02/09 Luton
England League 1
0-0 0-2 82 L
29/08 Wycombe
England League 1
2-1 5-1 60 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oxford Utd vs Stockport?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Stockport win (48%). Probabilities: Oxford Utd 27%, draw 26%, Stockport 48%.

How many goals are expected in Oxford Utd vs Stockport?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Oxford Utd 1.17 · Stockport 1.65), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Oxford Utd vs Stockport?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.