Football · England League 1 · 27/10, 20:45
Prediction: Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley
Team pages: Milton Keynes Dons · Bromley
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Milton Keynes Dons2.02
Bromley1.15
1X2
Milton Keynes Dons
Draw
Bromley
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Milton Keynes Dons
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Bromley
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Milton Keynes Dons
1–1–2
Bromley
(4 last)
- Milton Keynes Dons2-1Bromley
- Bromley2-1Milton Keynes Dons
- Milton Keynes Dons0-1Bromley
- Bromley1-1Milton Keynes Dons
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Milton Keynes Dons 1517 · Bromley 1400
| Milton Keynes Dons | Draw | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Milton Keynes Dons (rating 1517 vs 1400).
- H2H favours Bromley: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Milton Keynes Dons | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 1.8 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Milton Keynes Dons 1–1–2 Bromley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 England League 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Bromley |
| 25/10/25 England League 2 | Bromley | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| 08/02/25 England League 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bromley |
| 28/09/24 England League 2 | Bromley | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Milton Keynes Dons |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 20 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Sheff Wed | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 17 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 23 | 15 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 13 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 10 |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Milton Keynes Dons | Bromley |
|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Peterborough | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Leicester | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Huddersfield | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Milton Keynes Dons
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/10 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Luton England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Reading England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/09 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Bromley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 20/10 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 19/09 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 07/09 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/09 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-3 | 2-7 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Milton Keynes Dons win (56%). Probabilities: Milton Keynes Dons 56%, draw 23%, Bromley 20%.
How many goals are expected in Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Milton Keynes Dons 2.02 · Bromley 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Bromley?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.