Football · England League 1 · 20/10, 20:45
Prediction: Doncaster vs Stockport
Team pages: Doncaster · Stockport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Doncaster1.09
Stockport1.66
1X2
Doncaster
Draw
Stockport
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Doncaster
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Stockport
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Doncaster
0–1–5
Stockport
(6 last)
- Stockport1-1Doncaster
- Doncaster0-1Stockport
- Stockport4-2Doncaster
- Doncaster0-2Stockport
- Doncaster1-5Stockport
- Stockport1-0Doncaster
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Doncaster 1455 · Stockport 1589
| Doncaster | Draw | Stockport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stockport (rating 1455 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Stockport: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Doncaster | Stockport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Doncaster 0–1–5 Stockport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 England EFL Cup | Stockport | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
| 03/03/26 England EFL Trophy | Doncaster | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Stockport |
| 29/12/25 England League 1 | Stockport | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Doncaster |
| 09/12/25 England League 1 | Doncaster | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Stockport |
| 27/01/24 England League 2 | Doncaster | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Stockport |
| 07/10/23 England League 2 | Stockport | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Stockport | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 8 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 22 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Doncaster | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Peterborough | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Plymouth | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Barnsley | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stockport (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Doncaster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Stockport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Bromley England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Luton England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Doncaster vs Stockport?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stockport win (50%). Probabilities: Doncaster 24%, draw 26%, Stockport 50%.
How many goals are expected in Doncaster vs Stockport?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Doncaster 1.09 · Stockport 1.66), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Doncaster vs Stockport?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.