Football · England League 1 · 31/10, 13:30

Prediction: Leyton Orient vs Cambridge Utd

Team pages: Leyton Orient · Cambridge Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Leyton Orient1.32

Cambridge Utd1.43

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Leyton Orient Draw Cambridge Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Leyton Orient 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLWLDWLL

Cambridge Utd 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDDWWDL

Head-to-head

Leyton Orient 4–2 Cambridge Utd (6 last)

Cambridge Utd1-2Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient2-0Cambridge Utd
Cambridge Utd0-2Leyton Orient
Leyton Orient2-0Cambridge Utd
Leyton Orient2-4Cambridge Utd
Cambridge Utd2-1Leyton Orient

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leyton Orient 1460 · Cambridge Utd 1544

	Leyton Orient	Draw	Cambridge Utd
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	34%	27%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cambridge Utd (rating 1460 vs 1544).
H2H favours Leyton Orient: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Leyton Orient	Cambridge Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.8	2.9 / 8.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.40

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.10

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.02

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:33 +2’	2.70	3.40	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Leyton Orient 4–0–2 Cambridge Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/04/25 England League 1	Cambridge Utd	1-2 HT 1-0	Leyton Orient
29/12/24 England League 1	Leyton Orient	2-0 HT 1-0	Cambridge Utd
01/01/24 England League 1	Cambridge Utd	0-2 HT 0-0	Leyton Orient
26/08/23 England League 1	Leyton Orient	2-0 HT 1-0	Cambridge Utd
20/04/21 England League 2	Leyton Orient	2-4 HT 1-1	Cambridge Utd
26/12/20 England League 2	Cambridge Utd	2-1 HT 0-1	Leyton Orient

Standings · England League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Huddersfield	12	7	4	1	24	11	25
2	Stockport	12	7	2	3	24	12	23
3	Bradford	12	6	4	2	10	5	22
4	Plymouth	13	7	1	5	21	19	22
5	Reading	12	6	3	3	25	13	21
6	Cambridge Utd	12	5	5	2	20	17	20
7	Oxford Utd	10	5	4	1	18	10	19
8	Sheff Wed	11	5	3	3	20	12	18
9	Mansfield	11	5	3	3	20	16	18
10	Luton	11	5	2	4	21	19	17
11	Burton Albion	13	4	5	4	18	19	17
12	Stevenage	11	4	3	4	15	11	15
13	Leicester	11	4	3	4	17	17	15
14	Wycombe	12	3	6	3	19	23	15
15	Leyton Orient	12	4	2	6	16	14	14
16	AFC Wimbledon	12	3	4	5	8	19	13
17	Doncaster	11	3	3	5	12	13	12
18	Milton Keynes Dons	11	2	6	3	12	18	12
19	Notts County	11	2	5	4	11	14	11
20	Blackpool	11	3	2	6	16	20	11
21	Peterborough	12	2	4	6	11	21	10
22	Bromley	11	2	3	6	10	26	9
23	Barnsley	11	2	2	7	11	21	8
24	Wigan	11	2	1	8	8	17	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Leyton Orient	Cambridge Utd
Burton Albion	1-2 L	2-2 D
Reading	0-1 L	2-1 W
Blackpool	2-0 W	1-0 W
Bradford	0-0 D	2-1 W
Plymouth	0-2 L	2-3 L
Wycombe	2-3 L	2-2 D
Barnsley	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cambridge Utd (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leyton Orient

LWDLWLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Burton Albion England League 1	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
21/10	Reading England League 1	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
17/10	Blackpool England League 1	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
10/10	Bradford England League 1	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
03/10	Plymouth England League 1	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
19/09	Stevenage England League 1	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
12/09	Wycombe England League 1	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
05/09	Luton England League 1	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
01/09	Bromley England League 1	1-0	5-0	4	5	W
29/08	Barnsley England League 1	0-1	1-3	4	8	L

Cambridge Utd

LWDWDDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Plymouth England League 1	0-1	2-3	13	4	L
20/10	Wycombe England League 1	0-1	2-2	12	4	D
17/10	Barnsley England League 1	0-1	2-1	11	7	W
10/10	Blackpool England League 1	0-0	1-0	13	4	W
26/09	AFC Wimbledon England League 1	0-1	1-1	8	4	D
19/09	Oxford Utd England League 1	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Reading England League 1	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
05/09	Burton Albion England League 1	1-1	2-2	7	3	D
01/09	Bradford England League 1	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
29/08	Huddersfield England League 1	0-0	1-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leyton Orient vs Cambridge Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Cambridge Utd win (39%). Probabilities: Leyton Orient 34%, draw 27%, Cambridge Utd 39%.

How many goals are expected in Leyton Orient vs Cambridge Utd?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Leyton Orient 1.32 · Cambridge Utd 1.43), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leyton Orient vs Cambridge Utd?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.