Football · England League 1 · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Leicester vs Stevenage

Team pages: Leicester · Stevenage

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Leicester1.81
Stevenage1.1
1X2
53% 25% 22%
Leicester Draw Stevenage
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Leicester 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDLWWL
Stevenage 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LDDWWLWLWL
Head-to-head
Leicester 0–1 Stevenage (1 last)
  • Stevenage2-1Leicester
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leicester 1494 · Stevenage 1530
LeicesterDrawStevenage
Our model53%25%22%
Market53%25%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LeicesterStevenage
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.61.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.80.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/10/40%20/80/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.82.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.33.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Leicester 0–0–1 Stevenage

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/10/26
England EFL Trophy
Stevenage2-1
HT 1-0
Leicester

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huddersfield 12741 241125
2 Stockport 12723 241223
3 Bradford 12642 10522
4 Plymouth 13715 211922
5 Reading 12633 251321
6 Cambridge Utd 12552 201720
7 Oxford Utd 10541 181019
8 Sheff Wed 11533 201218
9 Mansfield 11533 201618
10 Luton 11524 211917
11 Burton Albion 13454 181917
12 Stevenage 11434 151115
13 Leicester 11434 171715
14 Wycombe 12363 192315
15 Leyton Orient 12426 161414
16 AFC Wimbledon 12345 81913
17 Doncaster 11335 121312
18 Milton Keynes Dons 11263 121812
19 Notts County 11254 111411
20 Blackpool 11326 162011
21 Peterborough 12246 112110
22 Bromley 11236 10269
23 Barnsley 11227 11218
24 Wigan 11218 8177

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLeicesterStevenage
Luton 1-2 L 2-1 W
Doncaster 2-1 W 2-2 D
Peterborough 1-3 L 0-0 D
Barnsley 1-1 D 5-1 W
Oxford Utd 0-4 L 1-2 L
Plymouth 2-0 W 3-0 W
Milton Keynes Dons 0-0 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 3 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stevenage (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leicester

LDWLWDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Luton
England League 1
0-1 1-2 83 L
20/10 Bromley
England League 1
3-0 4-0 44 W
17/10 Doncaster
England League 1
1-0 2-1 64 W
10/10 Peterborough
England League 1
0-3 1-3 81 L
19/09 Barnsley
England League 1
1-0 1-1 129 D
12/09 Stockport
England League 1
2-1 4-3 13 W
05/09 Oxford Utd
England League 1
0-1 0-4 102 L
01/09 Plymouth
England League 1
2-0 2-0 54 W
29/08 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
0-0 0-0 93 D
22/08 Burton Albion
England League 1
1-2 1-2 55 L

Stevenage

LDDWWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
0-0 0-1 75 L
20/10 Plymouth
England League 1
2-0 3-0 52 W
17/10 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-2 32 L
10/10 Wigan
England League 1
0-0 1-0 24 W
19/09 Leyton Orient
England League 1
0-0 0-1 64 L
10/09 Luton
England League 1
1-0 2-1 27 W
05/09 Barnsley
England League 1
1-1 5-1 33 W
01/09 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
29/08 Doncaster
England League 1
0-0 2-2 93 D
22/08 Oxford Utd
England League 1
0-0 1-2 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leicester vs Stevenage?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Leicester win (53%). Probabilities: Leicester 53%, draw 25%, Stevenage 22%.

How many goals are expected in Leicester vs Stevenage?

The model expects 2.91 goals (Leicester 1.81 · Stevenage 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Leicester vs Stevenage?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.