Football · England League 1 · 03/11, 20:45

Prediction: Wigan vs Mansfield

Team pages: Wigan · Mansfield

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Wigan1.28
Mansfield1.55
1X2
30% 27% 42%
Wigan Draw Mansfield
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Wigan 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLDLLWLLLW
Mansfield 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLLDDWDWWL
Head-to-head
Wigan 2–2–1 Mansfield (5 last)
  • Wigan2-1Mansfield
  • Mansfield1-1Wigan
  • Mansfield0-0Wigan
  • Mansfield0-2Wigan
  • Wigan1-2Mansfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wigan 1479 · Mansfield 1499
WiganDrawMansfield
Our model30%27%43%
Market30%27%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Wigan: 2-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WiganMansfield
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.61.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.80.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.63.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.13.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wigan 2–2–1 Mansfield

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
England League 1
Wigan2-1
HT 1-1
Mansfield
25/10/25
England League 1
Mansfield1-1
HT 1-0
Wigan
04/03/25
England League 1
Mansfield0-0
HT 0-0
Wigan
14/01/25
England FA Cup
Mansfield0-2
HT 0-0
Wigan
22/10/24
England League 1
Wigan1-2
HT 0-1
Mansfield

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huddersfield 13841 271128
2 Stockport 14824 261426
3 Oxford Utd 12651 201123
4 Luton 13724 262023
5 Plymouth 14725 211923
6 Reading 13643 251322
7 Bradford 13643 10822
8 Cambridge Utd 14563 212121
9 Sheff Wed 12543 211319
10 Leicester 13544 221919
11 Milton Keynes Dons 13463 222018
12 Mansfield 12534 201818
13 Wycombe 13463 212318
14 Leyton Orient 13526 191417
15 Burton Albion 14455 182117
16 Stevenage 12444 171316
17 Notts County 12354 131414
18 AFC Wimbledon 13346 92113
19 Doncaster 13337 142212
20 Blackpool 11326 162011
21 Wigan 13319 112210
22 Peterborough 13247 112310
23 Barnsley 12237 12229
24 Bromley 13238 13339

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWiganMansfield
Bromley 3-2 W 2-1 W
Huddersfield 1-2 L 0-0 D
Oxford Utd 1-2 L 1-1 D
Reading 1-0 W 0-5 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mansfield (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wigan

WLDLLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Bromley
England League 1
2-2 3-2 47 W
27/10 Leicester
England League 1
0-1 0-3 38 L
24/10 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-1 1-2 48 L
20/10 Oxford Utd
England League 1
0-1 1-2 17 L
17/10 Reading
England League 1
0-0 1-0 54 W
10/10 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 0-1 74 L
19/09 Wycombe
England League 1
0-0 0-1 47 L
12/09 Sheff Wed
England League 1
0-0 0-0 75 D
05/09 Stockport
England League 1
0-3 0-4 63 L
02/09 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
1-0 3-1 54 W

Mansfield

WLLDDWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Notts County
England League 1
0-1 0-2 94 L
24/10 Blackpool
England League 1
1-1 4-1 73 W
20/10 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
2-0 3-0 63 W
15/10 Oxford Utd
England League 1
0-1 1-1 116 D
10/10 Bromley
England League 1
1-1 2-1 77 W
19/09 Burton Albion
England League 1
1-2 2-2 56 D
12/09 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-0 0-0 22 D
05/09 Bradford
England League 1
0-1 0-1 34 L
02/09 Reading
England League 1
0-3 0-5 21 L
30/08 Luton
England League 1
3-0 5-2 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wigan vs Mansfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Mansfield win (42%). Probabilities: Wigan 30%, draw 27%, Mansfield 42%.

How many goals are expected in Wigan vs Mansfield?

The model expects 2.83 goals (Wigan 1.28 · Mansfield 1.55), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wigan vs Mansfield?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.