Football · England League 1 · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Wigan vs Bromley

Team pages: Wigan · Bromley

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Wigan1.56
Bromley1.06
1X2
48% 27% 25%
Wigan Draw Bromley
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Wigan 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLDLLWLL
Bromley 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLDWLLLD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wigan 1458 · Bromley 1393
WiganDrawBromley
Our model48%28%25%
Market48%26%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wigan (rating 1458 vs 1393).
  • Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WiganBromley
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.40.9 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.60.4 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.21.8 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.13.3 / 0

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huddersfield 12741 241125
2 Stockport 12723 241223
3 Bradford 12642 10522
4 Plymouth 13715 211922
5 Reading 12633 251321
6 Cambridge Utd 12552 201720
7 Oxford Utd 10541 181019
8 Sheff Wed 11533 201218
9 Mansfield 11533 201618
10 Luton 11524 211917
11 Burton Albion 13454 181917
12 Stevenage 11434 151115
13 Leicester 11434 171715
14 Wycombe 12363 192315
15 Leyton Orient 12426 161414
16 AFC Wimbledon 12345 81913
17 Doncaster 11335 121312
18 Milton Keynes Dons 11263 121812
19 Notts County 11254 111411
20 Blackpool 11326 162011
21 Peterborough 12246 112110
22 Bromley 11236 10269
23 Barnsley 11227 11218
24 Wigan 11218 8177

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWiganBromley
Huddersfield 1-2 L 2-1 W
Sheff Wed 0-0 D 2-7 L
Stockport 0-4 L 0-1 L
AFC Wimbledon 0-1 L 0-2 L
Leyton Orient 0-2 L 0-5 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Wigan (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wigan

LLWLDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-1 1-2 48 L
20/10 Oxford Utd
England League 1
0-1 1-2 17 L
17/10 Reading
England League 1
0-0 1-0 54 W
10/10 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 0-1 74 L
19/09 Wycombe
England League 1
0-0 0-1 47 L
12/09 Sheff Wed
England League 1
0-0 0-0 75 D
05/09 Stockport
England League 1
0-3 0-4 63 L
02/09 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
1-0 3-1 54 W
30/08 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
0-0 0-1 88 L
22/08 Leyton Orient
England League 1
0-1 0-2 –– L

Bromley

DLLLDWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Peterborough
England League 1
1-0 1-1 11 D
20/10 Leicester
England League 1
0-3 0-4 54 L
17/10 Stockport
England League 1
0-1 0-1 33 L
10/10 Mansfield
England League 1
1-1 1-2 17 L
19/09 Huddersfield
England League 1
1-1 2-1 44 W
12/09 Blackpool
England League 1
1-2 2-2 61 D
07/09 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
0-1 0-2 42 L
01/09 Leyton Orient
England League 1
0-1 0-5 25 L
29/08 Sheff Wed
England League 1
0-3 2-7 33 L
22/08 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
0-0 1-1 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wigan vs Bromley?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wigan win (48%). Probabilities: Wigan 48%, draw 27%, Bromley 25%.

How many goals are expected in Wigan vs Bromley?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Wigan 1.56 · Bromley 1.06), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wigan vs Bromley?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.