Football · England League 1 · 04/11, 20:45

Prediction: Oxford Utd vs Reading

Team pages: Oxford Utd · Reading

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Oxford Utd1.33
Reading1.39
1X2
35% 28% 37%
Oxford Utd Draw Reading
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oxford Utd 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
LWWDWDWDWD
Reading 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDDWLWWD
Head-to-head
Oxford Utd 0–2–0 Reading (2 last)
  • Oxford Utd1-1Reading
  • Reading1-1Oxford Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oxford Utd 1553 · Reading 1522
Oxford UtdDrawReading
Our model35%28%37%
Market35%27%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Oxford UtdReading
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 0.81.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 53.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.53.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oxford Utd 0–2–0 Reading

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/02/24
England League 1
Oxford Utd1-1
HT 1-0
Reading
12/12/23
England League 1
Reading1-1
HT 1-1
Oxford Utd

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huddersfield 13841 271128
2 Stockport 14824 261426
3 Oxford Utd 12651 201123
4 Luton 13724 262023
5 Plymouth 14725 211923
6 Reading 13643 251322
7 Bradford 13643 10822
8 Cambridge Utd 14563 212121
9 Sheff Wed 12543 211319
10 Leicester 13544 221919
11 Milton Keynes Dons 13463 222018
12 Mansfield 12534 201818
13 Wycombe 13463 212318
14 Leyton Orient 13526 191417
15 Burton Albion 14455 182117
16 Stevenage 12444 171316
17 Notts County 12354 131414
18 AFC Wimbledon 13346 92113
19 Doncaster 13337 142212
20 Blackpool 11326 162011
21 Wigan 13319 112210
22 Peterborough 13247 112310
23 Barnsley 12237 12229
24 Bromley 13238 13339

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentOxford UtdReading
Barnsley 1-1 D 2-1 W
Bradford 0-0 D 1-1 D
Wigan 2-1 W 0-1 L
Notts County 2-1 W 2-0 W
Cambridge Utd 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oxford Utd

LWWDWDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Barnsley
England League 1
0-1 1-1 146 D
27/10 Stockport
England League 1
1-0 1-0 32 W
24/10 Bradford
England League 1
0-0 0-0 52 D
20/10 Wigan
England League 1
1-0 2-1 97 W
15/10 Mansfield
England League 1
1-0 1-1 36 D
10/10 Notts County
England League 1
1-0 2-1 49 W
19/09 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
1-0 1-1 56 D
12/09 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-0 3-0 22 W
05/09 Leicester
England League 1
1-0 4-0 52 W
01/09 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-0 1-3 04 L

Reading

WLWDDWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Plymouth
England League 1
0-0 0-0 74 D
24/10 Barnsley
England League 1
0-1 2-1 61 W
21/10 Leyton Orient
England League 1
0-0 1-0 33 W
17/10 Wigan
England League 1
0-0 0-1 54 L
10/10 Milton Keynes Dons
England League 1
1-0 5-1 52 W
03/10 Bradford
England League 1
0-1 1-1 95 D
26/09 Wycombe
England League 1
0-0 2-2 75 D
19/09 Notts County
England League 1
0-0 2-0 43 W
12/09 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
1-0 1-2 33 L
05/09 Blackpool
England League 1
1-0 3-1 61 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oxford Utd vs Reading?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reading win (37%). Probabilities: Oxford Utd 35%, draw 28%, Reading 37%.

How many goals are expected in Oxford Utd vs Reading?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Oxford Utd 1.33 · Reading 1.39), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Oxford Utd vs Reading?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.