Football · England League 1 · 14/11, 16:00
Prediction: AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
Team pages: AFC Wimbledon · Blackpool
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
AFC Wimbledon1.38
Blackpool1.45
1X2
AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Blackpool
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Wimbledon
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Blackpool
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Wimbledon
3–2–1
Blackpool
(6 last)
- AFC Wimbledon4-1Blackpool
- Blackpool0-2AFC Wimbledon
- Blackpool1-1AFC Wimbledon
- AFC Wimbledon1-0Blackpool
- AFC Wimbledon0-0Blackpool
- Blackpool2-0AFC Wimbledon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Wimbledon 1446 · Blackpool 1452
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AFC Wimbledon: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.6 | 3.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Wimbledon 3–2–1 Blackpool
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 England League 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Blackpool |
| 04/10/25 England League 1 | Blackpool | 0-2 HT 0-1 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 06/03/21 England League 1 | Blackpool | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 27/10/20 England League 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Blackpool |
| 22/02/20 England League 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blackpool |
| 16/11/19 England League 1 | Blackpool | 2-0 HT 0-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheff Wed | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Wimbledon | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Mansfield | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Sheff Wed | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Plymouth | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Cambridge Utd | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Bromley | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: AFC Wimbledon (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Wimbledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Wycombe England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 20/10 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Plymouth England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/09 | Bromley England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
Blackpool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 24/10 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/10 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Bromley England League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 05/09 | Reading England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/09 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Peterborough England League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Blackpool win (38%). Probabilities: AFC Wimbledon 35%, draw 27%, Blackpool 38%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
The model expects 2.83 goals (AFC Wimbledon 1.38 · Blackpool 1.45), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.