Football · England League 1 · 14/11, 16:00

Prediction: Sheff Wed vs Plymouth

Team pages: Sheff Wed · Plymouth

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Sheff Wed1.47
Plymouth1.27
1X2
41% 27% 32%
Sheff Wed Draw Plymouth
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sheff Wed 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDDWLLDD
Plymouth 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLLWD
Head-to-head
Sheff Wed 4–2 Plymouth (6 last)
  • Plymouth0-3Sheff Wed
  • Sheff Wed4-0Plymouth
  • Sheff Wed1-0Plymouth
  • Plymouth3-0Sheff Wed
  • Sheff Wed1-0Plymouth
  • Plymouth2-1Sheff Wed
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sheff Wed 1529 · Plymouth 1554
Sheff WedDrawPlymouth
Our model40%28%32%
Market41%26%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sheff Wed: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sheff WedPlymouth
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 11.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.81.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.23.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sheff Wed 4–0–2 Plymouth

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/03/25
England Championship
Plymouth0-3
HT 0-2
Sheff Wed
11/08/24
England Championship
Sheff Wed4-0
HT 1-0
Plymouth
05/03/24
England Championship
Sheff Wed1-0
HT 0-0
Plymouth
25/10/23
England Championship
Plymouth3-0
HT 2-0
Sheff Wed
04/02/23
England League 1
Sheff Wed1-0
HT 1-0
Plymouth
04/10/22
England League 1
Plymouth2-1
HT 1-1
Sheff Wed

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Huddersfield 14851 281229
2 Stockport 14824 261426
3 Oxford Utd 13751 221126
4 Luton 14734 272124
5 Plymouth 14725 211923
6 Reading 14644 251522
7 Bradford 13643 10822
8 Cambridge Utd 14563 212121
9 Sheff Wed 13553 221420
10 Leicester 13544 221919
11 Mansfield 13544 201819
12 Milton Keynes Dons 13463 222018
13 Wycombe 13463 212318
14 Leyton Orient 13526 191417
15 Burton Albion 14455 182117
16 Stevenage 12444 171316
17 Notts County 12354 131414
18 AFC Wimbledon 13346 92113
19 Blackpool 12336 172112
20 Doncaster 13337 142212
21 Wigan 14329 112211
22 Peterborough 13247 112310
23 Barnsley 12237 12229
24 Bromley 13238 13339

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSheff WedPlymouth
Blackpool 1-1 D 4-2 W
Cambridge Utd 1-1 D 3-2 W
Doncaster 0-2 L 3-2 W
AFC Wimbledon 5-0 W 2-1 W
Huddersfield 2-2 D 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 1 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Plymouth (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sheff Wed

WWDDDWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Blackpool
England League 1
1-0 1-1 107 D
27/10 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
0-0 1-1 62 D
24/10 Doncaster
England League 1
0-2 0-2 53 L
20/10 Notts County
England League 1
0-1 0-2 05 L
17/10 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
3-0 5-0 23 W
10/10 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-0 2-2 85 D
19/09 Stockport
England League 1
0-0 0-0 44 D
12/09 Wigan
England League 1
0-0 0-0 85 D
05/09 Peterborough
England League 1
1-0 2-1 95 W
01/09 Wycombe
England League 1
2-1 2-1 63 W

Plymouth

WWWLWWLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Reading
England League 1
0-0 0-0 34 D
24/10 Cambridge Utd
England League 1
1-0 3-2 34 W
20/10 Stevenage
England League 1
0-2 0-3 52 L
17/10 Huddersfield
England League 1
0-1 0-2 20 L
10/10 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
1-1 2-1 41 W
03/10 Leyton Orient
England League 1
0-0 2-0 64 W
26/09 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-0 0-1 36 L
19/09 Blackpool
England League 1
1-1 4-2 83 W
12/09 Barnsley
England League 1
2-0 3-0 44 W
05/09 Doncaster
England League 1
1-0 3-2 33 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sheff Wed vs Plymouth?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sheff Wed win (41%). Probabilities: Sheff Wed 41%, draw 27%, Plymouth 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sheff Wed vs Plymouth?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Sheff Wed 1.47 · Plymouth 1.27), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sheff Wed vs Plymouth?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.