Football · Colombia Primera A · 28/09, 01:05
Prediction: Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima
Team pages: Fortaleza CEIF · Deportes Tolima
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.24Total
Fortaleza CEIF1.07
Deportes Tolima1.17
1X2
Fortaleza CEIF
Draw
Deportes Tolima
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza CEIF
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Deportes Tolima
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fortaleza CEIF
0–3–3
Deportes Tolima
(6 last)
- Deportes Tolima2-0Fortaleza CEIF
- Deportes Tolima1-0Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF0-1Deportes Tolima
- Deportes Tolima1-1Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF1-1Deportes Tolima
- Fortaleza CEIF1-1Deportes Tolima
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Tolima (rating 1436 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Deportes Tolima: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza CEIF | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.6 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortaleza CEIF 0–3–3 Deportes Tolima
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 08/12/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 19/11/25 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Tolima |
| 01/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportes Tolima | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 15/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Tolima |
| 20/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportes Tolima |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Millonarios | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Independiente Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 11 |
| 13 | Cucuta Deportivo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 9 |
| 14 | Fortaleza CEIF | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pasto | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
| 20 | Junior | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza CEIF | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| Junior | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Independiente Santa Fe | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Once Caldas | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Llaneros | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Alianza | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza CEIF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Deportes Tolima
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/09 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportes Tolima win (37%). Probabilities: Fortaleza CEIF 32%, draw 31%, Deportes Tolima 37%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima?
The model expects 2.24 goals (Fortaleza CEIF 1.07 · Deportes Tolima 1.17), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportes Tolima?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.