Football · Colombia Primera A · 04/10, 21:00
Prediction: Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF
Team pages: Deportivo Pasto · Fortaleza CEIF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Deportivo Pasto1.39
Fortaleza CEIF1.09
1X2
Deportivo Pasto
Draw
Fortaleza CEIF
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Pasto
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Fortaleza CEIF
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Pasto
4–1–1
Fortaleza CEIF
(6 last)
- Fortaleza CEIF1-2Deportivo Pasto
- Fortaleza CEIF2-0Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto1-0Fortaleza CEIF
- Fortaleza CEIF0-0Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto1-0Fortaleza CEIF
- Deportivo Pasto1-0Fortaleza CEIF
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportivo Pasto: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Pasto | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 1.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Pasto 4–1–1 Fortaleza CEIF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/26 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 25/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 04/05/25 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 15/09/24 Colombia Primera A | Fortaleza CEIF | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Pasto |
| 05/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
| 06/11/16 Colombia Primera A | Deportivo Pasto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Fortaleza CEIF |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Millonarios | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Independiente Medellin | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 9 | Llaneros | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Internacional de Bogota | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Cucuta Deportivo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 13 | Aguilas Doradas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 14 | Boyaca Chico | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 15 | Junior | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 9 |
| 16 | Fortaleza CEIF | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 8 |
| 19 | Alianza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Pasto | Fortaleza CEIF |
|---|---|---|
| Boyaca Chico | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Once Caldas | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Cucuta Deportivo | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Pereira | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Llaneros | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Fortaleza CEIF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Pasto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 15/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 06/09 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | D |
| 01/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Fortaleza CEIF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Pasto win (43%). Probabilities: Deportivo Pasto 43%, draw 29%, Fortaleza CEIF 28%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Deportivo Pasto 1.39 · Fortaleza CEIF 1.09), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.