Football · Colombia Primera A · 28/10, 00:00
Prediction: Cucuta Deportivo vs Aguilas Doradas
Team pages: Cucuta Deportivo · Aguilas Doradas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Cucuta Deportivo1.38
Aguilas Doradas1.3
1X2
Cucuta Deportivo
Draw
Aguilas Doradas
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cucuta Deportivo
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Aguilas Doradas
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cucuta Deportivo
3–3
Aguilas Doradas
(6 last)
- Aguilas Doradas3-2Cucuta Deportivo
- Aguilas Doradas2-1Cucuta Deportivo
- Aguilas Doradas1-3Cucuta Deportivo
- Cucuta Deportivo3-0Aguilas Doradas
- Aguilas Doradas2-0Cucuta Deportivo
- Cucuta Deportivo2-1Aguilas Doradas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cucuta Deportivo 1505 · Aguilas Doradas 1495
| Cucuta Deportivo | Draw | Aguilas Doradas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cucuta Deportivo | Aguilas Doradas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.1 | 2.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.7 | 6.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cucuta Deportivo 3–0–3 Aguilas Doradas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 07/11/20 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 16/07/19 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 27/01/19 Colombia Primera A | Cucuta Deportivo | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
| 01/11/15 Colombia Primera A | Aguilas Doradas | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cucuta Deportivo |
| 02/05/15 Colombia Primera A | Cucuta Deportivo | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Aguilas Doradas |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta Deportivo | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 14 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 15 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
| 16 | Boyaca Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 14 |
| 18 | Fortaleza CEIF | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cucuta Deportivo | Aguilas Doradas |
|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Deportivo Pereira | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Cali | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Tolima | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Alianza | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cucuta Deportivo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/10 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 27/09 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 13 | D |
| 01/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/08 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
Aguilas Doradas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 03/10 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 28/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cucuta Deportivo vs Aguilas Doradas?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cucuta Deportivo win (37%). Probabilities: Cucuta Deportivo 37%, draw 29%, Aguilas Doradas 34%.
How many goals are expected in Cucuta Deportivo vs Aguilas Doradas?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Cucuta Deportivo 1.38 · Aguilas Doradas 1.3), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cucuta Deportivo vs Aguilas Doradas?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.