Football · Colombia Primera A · 28/10, 02:05
Prediction: Boyaca Chico vs Junior
Team pages: Boyaca Chico · Junior
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Boyaca Chico1.28
Junior1.2
1X2
Boyaca Chico
Draw
Junior
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Boyaca Chico
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Junior
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boyaca Chico
1–1–4
Junior
(6 last)
- Junior3-0Boyaca Chico
- Junior2-0Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico0-2Junior
- Junior2-1Boyaca Chico
- Boyaca Chico2-2Junior
- Boyaca Chico2-1Junior
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Junior (rating 1462 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Junior: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boyaca Chico | Junior | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boyaca Chico 1–1–4 Junior
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 02/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Boyaca Chico |
| 19/02/25 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Junior |
| 22/07/24 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Boyaca Chico |
| 28/01/24 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Junior |
| 20/09/23 Colombia Primera A | Boyaca Chico | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Junior |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 | America de Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 12 | 25 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta Deportivo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 13 |
| 16 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 17 | Boyaca Chico | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza CEIF | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 9 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Boyaca Chico | Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 1-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Alianza | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Independiente Medellin | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Aguilas Doradas | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Junior (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boyaca Chico
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/10 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/08 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
Junior
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/10 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/10 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 01/10 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 27/09 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/09 | Alianza Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 06/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boyaca Chico vs Junior?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Boyaca Chico win (37%). Probabilities: Boyaca Chico 37%, draw 30%, Junior 33%.
How many goals are expected in Boyaca Chico vs Junior?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Boyaca Chico 1.28 · Junior 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Boyaca Chico vs Junior?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.