Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 20/07, 21:00
Prediction: Mushuc Runa vs Orense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Mushuc Runa1.42
Orense1.53
1X2
Mushuc Runa
Draw
Orense
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mushuc Runa
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Orense
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mushuc Runa
2–1–3
Orense
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orense (rating 1439 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Orense: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mushuc Runa | Orense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mushuc Runa 2–1–3 Orense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| 14/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| 17/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 2-5 HT 2-2 | Orense |
| 06/03/25 Copa Sudamericana | Mushuc Runa | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Orense |
| 22/09/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Orense |
| 06/04/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Orense | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Mushuc Runa |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | SD Aucas | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 31 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 18 | 29 |
| 5 | Macara | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 29 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 15 | 28 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cuenca | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Leones FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 24 |
| 9 | Emelec | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 24 |
| 10 | Tecnico Universitario | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Orense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 23 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 23 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 21 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 21 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 20 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mushuc Runa | Orense |
|---|---|---|
| Macara | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Guayaquil City | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Leones FC | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| LDU Quito | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mushuc Runa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/06 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 23/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Orense
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 02/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Orense win (39%). Probabilities: Mushuc Runa 34%, draw 27%, Orense 39%.
How many goals are expected in Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Mushuc Runa 1.42 · Orense 1.53), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mushuc Runa vs Orense?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.