Football · England League 1 · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Mansfield vs Doncaster
Team pages: Doncaster
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Mansfield1.69
Doncaster1.31
1X2
Mansfield
Draw
Doncaster
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mansfield
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Doncaster
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mansfield
3–2–1
Doncaster
(6 last)
- Doncaster0-2Mansfield
- Mansfield1-2Doncaster
- Mansfield1-1Doncaster
- Mansfield3-2Doncaster
- Doncaster2-2Mansfield
- Mansfield4-1Doncaster
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mansfield 1554 · Doncaster 1500
| Mansfield | Draw | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mansfield (rating 1554 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Mansfield: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mansfield | Doncaster | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.5 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mansfield 3–2–1 Doncaster
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England League 1 | Doncaster | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Mansfield |
| 09/08/25 England League 1 | Mansfield | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
| 29/12/23 England League 2 | Mansfield | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Doncaster |
| 10/10/23 England EFL Trophy | Mansfield | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Doncaster |
| 15/08/23 England League 2 | Doncaster | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Mansfield |
| 28/01/23 England League 2 | Mansfield | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Doncaster |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bradford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burton Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Notts County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sheff Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stockport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mansfield | Doncaster |
|---|---|---|
| Peterborough | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Stockport | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mansfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Derby UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 17 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Alfreton Town UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Barrow Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Retford Utd Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Cardiff England League 1 |
3-0 | 5-4 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Luton England League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/04 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
Doncaster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Stockport England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | Wolverhampton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Gainsborough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | Glenavon UK Friendlies |
4-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | St Patricks Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mansfield vs Doncaster?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mansfield win (45%). Probabilities: Mansfield 45%, draw 27%, Doncaster 28%.
How many goals are expected in Mansfield vs Doncaster?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Mansfield 1.69 · Doncaster 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Mansfield vs Doncaster?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.