Football · England League 1 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Wigan vs Leyton Orient
Team pages: Wigan · Leyton Orient
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Wigan1.41
Leyton Orient1.12
1X2
Wigan
Draw
Leyton Orient
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wigan
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Leyton Orient
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wigan
1–3–2
Leyton Orient
(6 last)
- Wigan0-0Leyton Orient
- Leyton Orient2-0Wigan
- Leyton Orient0-0Wigan
- Wigan0-2Leyton Orient
- Wigan1-0Leyton Orient
- Leyton Orient1-1Wigan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wigan 1464 · Leyton Orient 1522
| Wigan | Draw | Leyton Orient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyton Orient (rating 1464 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Leyton Orient: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wigan | Leyton Orient | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.3 | 3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wigan 1–3–2 Leyton Orient
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 England League 1 | Wigan | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leyton Orient |
| 09/08/25 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Wigan |
| 05/04/25 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wigan |
| 07/12/24 England League 1 | Wigan | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Leyton Orient |
| 09/03/24 England League 1 | Wigan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Leyton Orient |
| 25/11/23 England League 1 | Leyton Orient | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Wigan |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stockport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bradford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Mansfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wigan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Barnsley England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Grimsby UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/07 | Southport UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Port Vale UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Leyton Orient
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Oxford Utd England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/08 | Waltham Abbey UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 7-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Antwerp Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Swindon UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Southend UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/07 | AFC Hornchurch Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | Cheshunt Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Enfield Town Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wigan vs Leyton Orient?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wigan win (43%). Probabilities: Wigan 43%, draw 29%, Leyton Orient 29%.
How many goals are expected in Wigan vs Leyton Orient?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Wigan 1.41 · Leyton Orient 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Wigan vs Leyton Orient?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.