Football · England League 1 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Wycombe vs Plymouth
Team pages: Wycombe · Plymouth
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Wycombe1.56
Plymouth1.4
1X2
Wycombe
Draw
Plymouth
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wycombe
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Plymouth
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wycombe
2–1–3
Plymouth
(6 last)
- Plymouth1-1Wycombe
- Wycombe0-1Plymouth
- Wycombe2-0Plymouth
- Plymouth1-0Wycombe
- Wycombe0-1Plymouth
- Wycombe2-0Plymouth
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wycombe 1452 · Plymouth 1599
| Wycombe | Draw | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Plymouth (rating 1452 vs 1599).
- H2H favours Plymouth: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wycombe | Plymouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.4 | 2.9 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wycombe 2–1–3 Plymouth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/12/25 England League 1 | Plymouth | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wycombe |
| 09/12/25 England League 1 | Wycombe | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Plymouth |
| 01/11/25 England FA Cup | Wycombe | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Plymouth |
| 29/12/22 England League 1 | Plymouth | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wycombe |
| 01/10/22 England League 1 | Wycombe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Plymouth |
| 15/04/22 England League 1 | Wycombe | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Plymouth |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stockport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bradford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Mansfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wycombe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | Stevenage England EFL Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Ipswich Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Yeovil Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Farnham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | QPR UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Rotherham England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
Plymouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/08 | Exeter England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Tavistock Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Bristol City UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Truro City UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Torquay UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Bath City Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Plymouth Parkway UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Northampton England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wycombe vs Plymouth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wycombe win (40%). Probabilities: Wycombe 40%, draw 27%, Plymouth 33%.
How many goals are expected in Wycombe vs Plymouth?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Wycombe 1.56 · Plymouth 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Wycombe vs Plymouth?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.