Football · England League 1 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Stockport vs Blackpool
Team pages: Stockport · Blackpool
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Stockport1.63
Blackpool0.92
1X2
Stockport
Draw
Blackpool
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stockport
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Blackpool
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stockport
4–0
Blackpool
(4 last)
- Blackpool1-2Stockport
- Stockport1-0Blackpool
- Stockport2-1Blackpool
- Blackpool0-3Stockport
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stockport 1575 · Blackpool 1519
| Stockport | Draw | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 27% | 20% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stockport (rating 1575 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Stockport: 4-0-0.
- High corners: 13 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stockport | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.2 | 3.9 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stockport 4–0–0 Blackpool
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/01/26 England League 1 | Blackpool | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Stockport |
| 11/10/25 England League 1 | Stockport | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Blackpool |
| 01/03/25 England League 1 | Stockport | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Blackpool |
| 17/08/24 England League 1 | Blackpool | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Stockport |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stockport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bradford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Mansfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stockport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Plymouth England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Doncaster England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Preston UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Oldham UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Bristol City UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Bolton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Barnsley England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Blackpool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Grimsby England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Port Vale UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Barrow UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Tranmere UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | AFC Fylde UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stockport vs Blackpool?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stockport win (53%). Probabilities: Stockport 53%, draw 26%, Blackpool 20%.
How many goals are expected in Stockport vs Blackpool?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Stockport 1.63 · Blackpool 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Stockport vs Blackpool?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.