Football · England League 1 · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Cambridge Utd vs Wigan
Team pages: Cambridge Utd · Wigan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Cambridge Utd1.07
Wigan0.97
1X2
Cambridge Utd
Draw
Wigan
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cambridge Utd
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Wigan
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cambridge Utd
3–1–2
Wigan
(6 last)
- Wigan1-0Cambridge Utd
- Cambridge Utd1-1Wigan
- Cambridge Utd2-0Wigan
- Cambridge Utd3-1Wigan
- Wigan2-1Cambridge Utd
- Wigan1-2Cambridge Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cambridge Utd 1552 · Wigan 1487
| Cambridge Utd | Draw | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cambridge Utd (rating 1552 vs 1487).
- H2H favours Cambridge Utd: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cambridge Utd | Wigan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6 | 2.8 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cambridge Utd 3–1–2 Wigan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/25 England League 1 | Wigan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cambridge Utd |
| 30/11/24 England FA Cup | Cambridge Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wigan |
| 19/10/24 England League 1 | Cambridge Utd | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Wigan |
| 01/04/24 England League 1 | Cambridge Utd | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Wigan |
| 16/09/23 England League 1 | Wigan | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Cambridge Utd |
| 16/04/22 England League 1 | Wigan | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Cambridge Utd |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bradford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burton Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Notts County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sheff Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stockport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cambridge Utd | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Grimsby | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cambridge Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Barnet England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/08 | Norwich Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Northampton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Preston UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Southend Club Friendly List |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Cambridge City UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Crewe England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | Bromley England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Wigan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Barnsley England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Grimsby UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/07 | Southport UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Port Vale UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cambridge Utd vs Wigan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cambridge Utd win (37%). Probabilities: Cambridge Utd 37%, draw 31%, Wigan 32%.
How many goals are expected in Cambridge Utd vs Wigan?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Cambridge Utd 1.07 · Wigan 0.97), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cambridge Utd vs Wigan?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.