Football · England League 1 · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Barnsley vs Bromley
Team pages: Barnsley · Bromley
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Barnsley1.66
Bromley1.07
1X2
Barnsley
Draw
Bromley
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Barnsley
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Bromley
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barnsley 1503 · Bromley 1474
| Barnsley | Draw | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barnsley | Bromley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.5 | 1.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bradford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burton Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Notts County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sheff Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stockport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Wigan England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Scarborough Athletic UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | York UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
Bromley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Reading England EFL Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Barnet UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 31/07 | QPR UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Millwall UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Crystal Palace Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | West Brom UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/04 | Cambridge Utd England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barnsley vs Bromley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnsley win (50%). Probabilities: Barnsley 50%, draw 26%, Bromley 24%.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Bromley?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Barnsley 1.66 · Bromley 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Bromley?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.