Football · England League 1 · 15/08, 13:30
Prediction: Oxford Utd vs Milton Keynes Dons
Team pages: Oxford Utd · Milton Keynes Dons
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Oxford Utd1.39
Milton Keynes Dons1.21
1X2
Oxford Utd
Draw
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Oxford Utd
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Milton Keynes Dons
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oxford Utd
2–2–2
Milton Keynes Dons
(6 last)
- Milton Keynes Dons1-1Oxford Utd
- Oxford Utd0-1Milton Keynes Dons
- Milton Keynes Dons1-1Oxford Utd
- Oxford Utd1-2Milton Keynes Dons
- Oxford Utd1-0Milton Keynes Dons
- Milton Keynes Dons1-2Oxford Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oxford Utd 1541 · Milton Keynes Dons 1521
| Oxford Utd | Draw | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 29% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oxford Utd | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oxford Utd 2–2–2 Milton Keynes Dons
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 England FA Cup | Milton Keynes Dons | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Oxford Utd |
| 19/09/23 England EFL Trophy | Oxford Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| 11/02/23 England League 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Oxford Utd |
| 17/09/22 England League 1 | Oxford Utd | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| 19/04/22 England League 1 | Oxford Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Milton Keynes Dons |
| 11/12/21 England League 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Oxford Utd |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bradford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bromley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burton Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leicester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Notts County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sheff Wed | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stockport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oxford Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Leyton Orient England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Ipswich Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Ipswich Town XI Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 28/07 | Crawley Town UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Barnet UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Millwall England Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Sheff Wed England Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/04 | Wrexham England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Derby England Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Milton Keynes Dons
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Norwich England EFL Cup |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Cheltenham UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Barnet UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Wealdstone UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | Tottenham Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Istra 1961 Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | Maidenhead Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oxford Utd vs Milton Keynes Dons?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oxford Utd win (40%). Probabilities: Oxford Utd 40%, draw 29%, Milton Keynes Dons 32%.
How many goals are expected in Oxford Utd vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Oxford Utd 1.39 · Milton Keynes Dons 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Oxford Utd vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.