Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 08/11, 04:30

Prediction: JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W)

Team pages: JEF Utd Chiba (W) · Omiya Ardija (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

JEF Utd Chiba (W)1.24

Omiya Ardija (W)1.06

1X2

39% 30% 31%

JEF Utd Chiba (W) Draw Omiya Ardija (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

JEF Utd Chiba (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLLWWWWD

Omiya Ardija (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DDLLLWLLWL

Head-to-head

JEF Utd Chiba (W) 1–5–0 Omiya Ardija (W) (6 last)

Omiya Ardija (W)1-1JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)1-1JEF Utd Chiba (W)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)1-1Omiya Ardija (W)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)2-2Omiya Ardija (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)0-1JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)0-0JEF Utd Chiba (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JEF Utd Chiba (W) 1562 · Omiya Ardija (W) 1471

	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	Draw	Omiya Ardija (W)
Our model	39%	31%	30%
Market	40%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JEF Utd Chiba (W) (rating 1562 vs 1471).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	Omiya Ardija (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.4	2.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:37 +5’	2.25	3.10	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · JEF Utd Chiba (W) 1–5–0 Omiya Ardija (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 Japan League Cup Women	Omiya Ardija (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	JEF Utd Chiba (W)
10/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	JEF Utd Chiba (W)
17/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Omiya Ardija (W)
06/05/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	2-2 HT 1-1	Omiya Ardija (W)
30/11/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	JEF Utd Chiba (W)
21/04/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	JEF Utd Chiba (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	7	6	0	1	16	4	18
2	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	7	5	0	2	17	11	15
3	Cerezo Osaka (W)	7	4	2	1	14	7	14
4	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	7	4	1	2	9	7	13
5	INAC Kobe (W)	7	3	1	3	14	13	10
6	Mynavi Sendai (W)	7	3	1	3	11	12	10
7	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	7	3	0	4	8	9	9
8	Nojima (W)	7	2	3	2	6	11	9
9	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	7	2	1	4	6	12	7
10	Omiya Ardija (W)	7	2	0	5	5	10	6
11	Albirex Niigata (W)	7	1	2	4	5	9	5
12	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	7	0	3	4	4	10	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	Omiya Ardija (W)
Nojima (W)	0-0 D	0-4 L
Albirex Niigata (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	2-1 W	0-1 L
Cerezo Osaka (W)	1-3 L	1-2 L
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: JEF Utd Chiba (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JEF Utd Chiba (W)

LDWLLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
24/10	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
21/10	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	6	0	W
18/10	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-1	2-1	2	0	W
05/09	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
30/08	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
23/08	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
16/05	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
10/05	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
03/05	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	2	3	L

Omiya Ardija (W)

DDLLLWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	1	0	L
28/10	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
25/10	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-2	3	0	L
18/10	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
05/09	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
29/08	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
22/08	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
16/05	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
10/05	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
02/05	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	6	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JEF Utd Chiba (W) win (39%). Probabilities: JEF Utd Chiba (W) 39%, draw 30%, Omiya Ardija (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W)?

The model expects 2.3 goals (JEF Utd Chiba (W) 1.24 · Omiya Ardija (W) 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in JEF Utd Chiba (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.