Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 14/11, 06:00
Prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Team pages: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) · JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1.54
JEF Utd Chiba (W)0.83
1X2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Draw
JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
2–3–1
JEF Utd Chiba (W)
(6 last)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)0-1JEF Utd Chiba (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)3-0JEF Utd Chiba (W)
- JEF Utd Chiba (W)0-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- JEF Utd Chiba (W)0-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)0-0JEF Utd Chiba (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1-1JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1515 · JEF Utd Chiba (W) 1565
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | Draw | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 19% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JEF Utd Chiba (W) (rating 1515 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W): 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/44/22% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.8 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.3 / 0 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 2–3–1 JEF Utd Chiba (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Japan League Cup Women | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
| 21/02/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
| 18/10/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 22/03/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 16/11/24 Japan Women Empowerment League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
| 31/03/24 Japan Women Empowerment League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | Nojima (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | INAC Kobe (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 9 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
| 10 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 12 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Mynavi Sendai (W) | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Cerezo Osaka (W) | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Omiya Ardija (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: JEF Utd Chiba (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/11 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 28/10 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | INAC Kobe (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | INAC Kobe (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
JEF Utd Chiba (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 31/10 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 24/10 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/10 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs JEF Utd Chiba (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) win (53%). Probabilities: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 53%, draw 27%, JEF Utd Chiba (W) 20%.
How many goals are expected in Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs JEF Utd Chiba (W)?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1.54 · JEF Utd Chiba (W) 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs JEF Utd Chiba (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.