Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 15/11, 05:00

Prediction: Omiya Ardija (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)

Team pages: Omiya Ardija (W) · Mynavi Sendai (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Omiya Ardija (W)1.14

Mynavi Sendai (W)1.12

1X2

35% 30% 35%

Omiya Ardija (W) Draw Mynavi Sendai (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Omiya Ardija (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLWLLWLL

Mynavi Sendai (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWDWW

Head-to-head

Omiya Ardija (W) 1–4–1 Mynavi Sendai (W) (6 last)

Omiya Ardija (W)1-2Mynavi Sendai (W)
Mynavi Sendai (W)0-0Omiya Ardija (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)1-1Mynavi Sendai (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)3-1Mynavi Sendai (W)
Mynavi Sendai (W)0-0Omiya Ardija (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)0-0Mynavi Sendai (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Omiya Ardija (W) 1465 · Mynavi Sendai (W) 1526

	Omiya Ardija (W)	Draw	Mynavi Sendai (W)
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	36%	29%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mynavi Sendai (W) (rating 1465 vs 1526).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Omiya Ardija (W)	Mynavi Sendai (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.7	1.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.2	1.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.10

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:54 +19’	2.50	3.10	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Omiya Ardija (W) 1–4–1 Mynavi Sendai (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/09/26 Japan League Cup Women	Omiya Ardija (W)	1-2 HT 0-0	Mynavi Sendai (W)
20/12/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Mynavi Sendai (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Omiya Ardija (W)
21/09/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Mynavi Sendai (W)
30/03/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Mynavi Sendai (W)
05/10/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Mynavi Sendai (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Omiya Ardija (W)
03/05/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Mynavi Sendai (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	8	6	0	2	16	5	18
2	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	8	5	1	2	11	7	16
3	Cerezo Osaka (W)	8	4	3	1	16	9	15
4	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	8	5	0	3	17	12	15
5	Mynavi Sendai (W)	8	4	1	3	12	12	13
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	8	4	0	4	11	11	12
7	Nojima (W)	8	3	3	2	7	11	12
8	INAC Kobe (W)	7	3	1	3	14	13	10
9	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	8	2	1	5	8	15	7
10	Omiya Ardija (W)	8	2	0	6	5	12	6
11	Albirex Niigata (W)	7	1	2	4	5	9	5
12	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	8	0	4	4	6	12	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Omiya Ardija (W)	Mynavi Sendai (W)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)	0-2 L	0-2 L
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Albirex Niigata (W)	2-1 W	2-3 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	0-2 L	2-1 W
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Nojima (W)	0-4 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Mynavi Sendai (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Omiya Ardija (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
31/10	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	1	0	L
28/10	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
25/10	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-2	3	0	L
18/10	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
05/09	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
29/08	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
22/08	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
16/05	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
10/05	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-1	3	2	D

Mynavi Sendai (W)

WLWLLLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
01/11	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	3	0	W
24/10	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
21/10	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-1	0	0	W
18/10	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	3-4	5	0	L
05/09	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
30/08	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	2-3	2	1	L
23/08	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	2-1	6	1	W
16/05	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-3	6	1	L
10/05	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Omiya Ardija (W) win (35%). Probabilities: Omiya Ardija (W) 35%, draw 30%, Mynavi Sendai (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Omiya Ardija (W) 1.14 · Mynavi Sendai (W) 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.