Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 14/11, 07:00
Prediction: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)
Team pages: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) · Albirex Niigata (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)1.89
Albirex Niigata (W)0.96
1X2
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
Draw
Albirex Niigata (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Albirex Niigata (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
4–1–1
Albirex Niigata (W)
(6 last)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)1-3Albirex Niigata (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)2-1Albirex Niigata (W)
- Albirex Niigata (W)0-1Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
- Albirex Niigata (W)0-2Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)1-1Albirex Niigata (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)3-1Albirex Niigata (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 1551 · Albirex Niigata (W) 1415
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | Draw | Albirex Niigata (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 58% | 24% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) (rating 1551 vs 1415).
- H2H favours Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | Albirex Niigata (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.1 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 4–1–1 Albirex Niigata (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/26 Japan League Cup Women | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Albirex Niigata (W) |
| 16/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Albirex Niigata (W) |
| 27/09/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Albirex Niigata (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) |
| 20/04/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Albirex Niigata (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) |
| 18/01/25 Japan Cup Women | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Albirex Niigata (W) |
| 29/09/24 Japan Women Empowerment League | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Albirex Niigata (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 7 | Nojima (W) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | INAC Kobe (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 9 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
| 10 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 12 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | Albirex Niigata (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Nojima (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Omiya Ardija (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Cerezo Osaka (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 31/10 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 28/10 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 24/10 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
Albirex Niigata (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 24/10 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 21/10 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/10 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 58%, draw 24%, Albirex Niigata (W) 18%.
How many goals are expected in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 1.89 · Albirex Niigata (W) 0.96), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.