Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 08/11, 05:00
Prediction: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Team pages: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)0.71
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1.61
1X2
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Draw
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
1–1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
(6 last)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1-0Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)3-1Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)1-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)2-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)1-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1-0Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1489 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1515
| Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 27% | 58% |
| Market | 17% | 23% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W): 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 33/44/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 3.3 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1–1–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
| 07/03/26 Japan League Cup Women | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
| 30/11/25 Japan League Cup Women | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 20/09/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 11/05/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 29/09/24 Japan Women Empowerment League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | INAC Kobe (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 10 |
| 6 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 10 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Nojima (W) | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 12 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka (W) | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Mynavi Sendai (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Omiya Ardija (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| INAC Leonessa (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 24/10 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 21/10 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 18/10 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 28/10 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/10 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/09 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 16%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 59%.
How many goals are expected in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 0.71 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1.61), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.