Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 24/10, 07:00

Prediction: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)

Team pages: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) · INAC Leonessa (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)1.73

INAC Leonessa (W)1.46

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Draw INAC Leonessa (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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INAC Leonessa (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLDWW

Head-to-head

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 3–1–2 INAC Leonessa (W) (6 last)

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)1-2INAC Leonessa (W)
INAC Leonessa (W)1-1Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
INAC Leonessa (W)0-1Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)4-1INAC Leonessa (W)
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)0-1INAC Leonessa (W)
INAC Leonessa (W)0-2Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 1522 · INAC Leonessa (W) 1529

	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	Draw	INAC Leonessa (W)
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Urawa Red Diamonds (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	INAC Leonessa (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	2.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/33/22%	33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
05:30 +37’	2.10	3.40	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 3–1–2 INAC Leonessa (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/11/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	INAC Leonessa (W)
21/09/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	INAC Leonessa (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
30/03/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	INAC Leonessa (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
18/01/25 Japan Cup Women	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	4-1 HT 2-1	INAC Leonessa (W)
22/09/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	INAC Leonessa (W)
18/05/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	INAC Leonessa (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	INAC Leonessa (W)	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
2	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	4	3	0	1	10	4	9
3	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	4	3	0	1	10	7	9
4	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	4	2	1	1	4	2	7
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
6	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	4	2	0	2	6	6	6
7	Cerezo Osaka (W)	4	1	2	1	6	5	5
8	Albirex Niigata (W)	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
9	Nojima (W)	4	1	1	2	5	11	4
10	Mynavi Sendai (W)	4	1	0	3	7	10	3
11	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	5	0	3	2	4	8	3
12	Omiya Ardija (W)	4	1	0	3	2	6	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	INAC Leonessa (W)
Nojima (W)	5-1 W	4-1 W
Omiya Ardija (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Mynavi Sendai (W)	0-1 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-2	1-2	5	0	L
05/09	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	3-1	3-1	6	1	W
30/08	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	5-1	11	0	W
22/08	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
16/05	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
10/05	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	4	0	W
03/05	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/04	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
04/04	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/03	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-0	6	1	W

INAC Leonessa (W)

WWWWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	4-3	1	0	W
06/09	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	4-1	5	0	W
02/09	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-2	2-2	12	1	D
30/08	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
22/08	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
16/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
03/05	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	5-1	9	1	W
25/04	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
05/04	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	2	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Urawa Red Diamonds (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 43%, draw 26%, INAC Leonessa (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 1.73 · INAC Leonessa (W) 1.46), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.