Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 01/11, 05:00

Prediction: Albirex Niigata (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Team pages: Albirex Niigata (W) · Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Albirex Niigata (W)0.88

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)1.6

1X2

20% 26% 54%

Albirex Niigata (W) Draw Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Albirex Niigata (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLDWLDLL

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Albirex Niigata (W) 2–2–2 Urawa Red Diamonds (W) (6 last)

Albirex Niigata (W)1-1Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)1-3Albirex Niigata (W)
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)3-1Albirex Niigata (W)
Albirex Niigata (W)2-2Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Albirex Niigata (W)0-5Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)0-1Albirex Niigata (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Albirex Niigata (W) 1435 · Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 1535

	Albirex Niigata (W)	Draw	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Our model	19%	27%	53%
Market	21%	25%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Urawa Red Diamonds (W) (rating 1435 vs 1535).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Albirex Niigata (W)	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.60

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.33▲	Pinn 5.04 ★
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	1.73 → 1.65▼	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:09 +11’	4.00	3.50	1.73
08:36 +9’	4.33▲	3.60▲	1.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:36 +5’	5.04	3.60	1.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Albirex Niigata (W) 2–2–2 Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 Japan League Cup Women	Albirex Niigata (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
01/03/26 Japan League Cup Women	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	1-3 HT 1-3	Albirex Niigata (W)
20/12/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Albirex Niigata (W)
25/10/25 Japan League Cup Women	Albirex Niigata (W)	2-2 HT 2-1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
17/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Albirex Niigata (W)	0-5 HT 0-3	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
04/05/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Albirex Niigata (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	6	5	0	1	14	4	15
2	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	6	4	0	2	15	10	12
3	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	6	4	0	2	9	7	12
4	Cerezo Osaka (W)	6	3	2	1	10	7	11
5	INAC Kobe (W)	7	3	1	3	14	13	10
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	6	3	0	3	7	7	9
7	Nojima (W)	6	2	2	2	6	11	8
8	Mynavi Sendai (W)	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
9	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
10	Omiya Ardija (W)	6	2	0	4	4	8	6
11	Albirex Niigata (W)	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
12	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	7	0	3	4	4	10	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Albirex Niigata (W)	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Nojima (W)	0-1 L	5-1 W
Omiya Ardija (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Mynavi Sendai (W)	3-2 W	0-1 L
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albirex Niigata (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
21/10	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
17/10	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
05/09	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-2	7	0	L
30/08	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	3-2	3	1	W
23/08	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
16/05	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
09/05	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
02/05	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
26/04	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	2-1	9	1	W

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

LLWLWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-0	2	1	W
24/10	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-0	6	0	W
18/10	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-2	1-2	5	0	L
05/09	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	3-1	3-1	6	1	W
30/08	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	5-1	11	0	W
22/08	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
16/05	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
10/05	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	4	0	W
03/05	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/04	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albirex Niigata (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Urawa Red Diamonds (W) win (54%). Probabilities: Albirex Niigata (W) 20%, draw 26%, Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 54%.

How many goals are expected in Albirex Niigata (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds (W)?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Albirex Niigata (W) 0.88 · Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 1.6), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata (W) vs Urawa Red Diamonds (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.