Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 31/10, 07:00

Prediction: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W)

Team pages: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) · Omiya Ardija (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)2.1

Omiya Ardija (W)0.82

1X2

67% 20% 13%

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Draw Omiya Ardija (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Omiya Ardija (W) 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 3–3–0 Omiya Ardija (W) (6 last)

Omiya Ardija (W)1-1Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)2-1Omiya Ardija (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)2-2Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)1-2Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)4-1Omiya Ardija (W)
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)1-1Omiya Ardija (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 1572 · Omiya Ardija (W) 1468

	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	Draw	Omiya Ardija (W)
Our model	66%	21%	13%
Market	67%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) (rating 1572 vs 1468).
H2H favours Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W): 3-3-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	Omiya Ardija (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	0.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.9	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	0.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:51 +17’	1.33	4.75	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 3–3–0 Omiya Ardija (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Japan League Cup Women	Omiya Ardija (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
18/02/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Omiya Ardija (W)
11/10/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
11/05/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	1-2 HT 1-0	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
24/11/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	4-1 HT 3-0	Omiya Ardija (W)
27/10/24 Japan League Cup Women	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Omiya Ardija (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	5	4	0	1	12	4	12
2	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	5	4	0	1	14	8	12
3	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	6	4	0	2	9	7	12
4	INAC Leonessa (W)	7	3	1	3	14	13	10
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	5	3	0	2	7	5	9
6	Cerezo Osaka (W)	5	2	2	1	8	6	8
7	Nojima (W)	6	2	2	2	6	11	8
8	Mynavi Sendai (W)	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
9	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
10	Albirex Niigata (W)	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
11	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	6	0	3	3	4	9	3
12	Omiya Ardija (W)	5	1	0	4	3	8	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	Omiya Ardija (W)
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	4-1 W	0-2 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	3-2 W	0-2 L
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	1-3 L	0-1 L
JEF Utd Chiba (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
Albirex Niigata (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	3-0	4-1	5	1	W
18/10	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	3-2	5	0	W
05/09	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-3	1-3	6	1	L
29/08	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	4-1	5	0	W
23/08	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
16/05	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-1	7	1	W
10/05	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	5	0	L
03/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
25/04	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	10	0	W
05/04	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	9	1	L

Omiya Ardija (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-2	3	0	L
18/10	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
05/09	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	2-1	7	0	W
29/08	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
22/08	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
16/05	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
10/05	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
02/05	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
26/04	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-0	5	0	W
05/04	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 67%, draw 20%, Omiya Ardija (W) 13%.

How many goals are expected in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W)?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 2.1 · Omiya Ardija (W) 0.82), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs Omiya Ardija (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.