Football · Colombia Primera A · 30/08, 01:30
Prediction: Junior vs Independiente Santa Fe
Team pages: Junior · Independiente Santa Fe
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Junior0.96
Independiente Santa Fe1.4
1X2
Junior
Draw
Independiente Santa Fe
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Junior
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Independiente Santa Fe
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Junior
0–3–3
Independiente Santa Fe
(6 last)
- Junior0-0Independiente Santa Fe
- Independiente Santa Fe1-1Junior
- Independiente Santa Fe2-1Junior
- Independiente Santa Fe3-0Junior
- Junior1-1Independiente Santa Fe
- Junior1-2Independiente Santa Fe
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Santa Fe (rating 1472 vs 1592).
- H2H favours Independiente Santa Fe: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Junior | Independiente Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 1.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Junior 0–3–3 Independiente Santa Fe
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe |
| 17/05/26 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Junior |
| 22/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Junior |
| 22/01/26 Colombia Super Cup | Independiente Santa Fe | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Junior |
| 16/01/26 Colombia Super Cup | Junior | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Independiente Santa Fe |
| 30/10/25 Colombia Primera A | Junior | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Independiente Santa Fe |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Cucuta Deportivo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Independiente Santa Fe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Fortaleza CEIF | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Internacional de Bogota | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 | Boyaca Chico | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Junior | Independiente Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Deportivo Pasto | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Junior
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 02/08 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/06 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | D |
| 11/05 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
Independiente Santa Fe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Once Caldas Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Junior vs Independiente Santa Fe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente Santa Fe win (46%). Probabilities: Junior 25%, draw 30%, Independiente Santa Fe 46%.
How many goals are expected in Junior vs Independiente Santa Fe?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Junior 0.96 · Independiente Santa Fe 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Junior vs Independiente Santa Fe?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.