Prediction: York vs Bristol Rovers
Team pages: York · Bristol Rovers
- York1-4Bristol Rovers
- Bristol Rovers2-1York
| York | Draw | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bristol Rovers (rating 1472 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Bristol Rovers: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| York | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · York 0–0–2 Bristol Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/16 England League 2 | York | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Bristol Rovers |
| 12/12/15 England League 2 | Bristol Rovers | 2-1 HT 0-1 | York |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Accrington Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crawley Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fleetwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rochdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Salford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | York | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Peterborough | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Bristol Rovers (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
York
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Crawley Town England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 28/07 | Peterborough UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/07 | Al Ittifaq Dammam World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Sunderland Elite Club Friendlies |
0-4 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Pickering Town Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Barnsley UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Rochdale England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Yeovil England National League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Tamworth England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Altrincham England National League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
Bristol Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Peterborough England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Forest Green UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 14/07 | Leicester Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Salisbury FC Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | Weston Super Mare UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in York vs Bristol Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a York win (43%). Probabilities: York 43%, draw 28%, Bristol Rovers 29%.
How many goals are expected in York vs Bristol Rovers?
The model expects 2.76 goals (York 1.53 · Bristol Rovers 1.23), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in York vs Bristol Rovers?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.