Football · England League 2 · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Tranmere vs Shrewsbury
Team pages: Tranmere · Shrewsbury
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Tranmere1.15
Shrewsbury0.9
1X2
Tranmere
Draw
Shrewsbury
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tranmere
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Shrewsbury
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tranmere
2–4
Shrewsbury
(6 last)
- Shrewsbury1-0Tranmere
- Tranmere4-0Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury2-3Tranmere
- Tranmere0-1Shrewsbury
- Shrewsbury6-0Tranmere
- Tranmere1-4Shrewsbury
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tranmere 1478 · Shrewsbury 1500
| Tranmere | Draw | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shrewsbury: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tranmere | Shrewsbury | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tranmere 2–0–4 Shrewsbury
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 England League 2 | Shrewsbury | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tranmere |
| 09/08/25 England League 2 | Tranmere | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Shrewsbury |
| 25/02/20 England League 1 | Shrewsbury | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Tranmere |
| 05/10/19 England League 1 | Tranmere | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shrewsbury |
| 09/10/18 England EFL Trophy | Shrewsbury | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Tranmere |
| 01/08/15 Club Friendly List | Tranmere | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Shrewsbury |
Standings · England League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Accrington Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crawley Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fleetwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rochdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Salford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tranmere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Rochdale England EFL Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Blackpool UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Grimsby England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Bristol Rovers England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
Shrewsbury
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Salford City England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 28/07 | Hereford FC UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | West Brom UK Friendlies |
1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Everton U21 UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Radcliffe FC Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/07 | Stafford Rangers UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Gillingham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Oldham England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tranmere vs Shrewsbury?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tranmere win (42%). Probabilities: Tranmere 42%, draw 30%, Shrewsbury 28%.
How many goals are expected in Tranmere vs Shrewsbury?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Tranmere 1.15 · Shrewsbury 0.9), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Tranmere vs Shrewsbury?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.