Football · England League 2 · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Gillingham vs Walsall

Team pages: Gillingham · Walsall

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Gillingham1.42

Walsall1.14

1X2

43% 28% 29%

Gillingham Draw Walsall

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gillingham 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Walsall 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gillingham 1–4–1 Walsall (6 last)

Walsall2-2Gillingham
Gillingham1-0Walsall
Gillingham0-0Walsall
Walsall1-1Gillingham
Gillingham1-1Walsall
Walsall4-1Gillingham

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gillingham 1491 · Walsall 1452

	Gillingham	Draw	Walsall
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gillingham	Walsall
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	0.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.1	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	1.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.05

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.29 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.2% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:18 +1’	2.15	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:17 +2’	2.29	3.25	3.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gillingham 1–4–1 Walsall

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England League 2	Walsall	2-2 HT 1-0	Gillingham
09/08/25 England League 2	Gillingham	1-0 HT 0-0	Walsall
22/03/25 England League 2	Gillingham	0-0 HT 0-0	Walsall
11/02/25 England League 2	Walsall	1-1 HT 0-0	Gillingham
03/02/24 England League 2	Gillingham	1-1 HT 0-0	Walsall
14/10/23 England League 2	Walsall	4-1 HT 2-0	Gillingham

Standings · England League 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	York	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Accrington Stanley	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Crawley Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fleetwood Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Newport County	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rochdale	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Salford City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Gillingham

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Luton England EFL Cup	0-1	0-3	2	2	L
31/07	Ebbsfleet United UK Friendlies	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
21/07	Millwall UK Friendlies	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
18/07	Charlton UK Friendlies	0-0	0-1	1	0	L
14/07	Dover Club Friendly List	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
02/05	Shrewsbury England League 2	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
25/04	Barnet England League 2	1-5	2-6	3	4	L
18/04	Grimsby England League 2	0-1	1-4	5	3	L
14/04	Cheltenham England League 2	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
11/04	Salford City England League 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Walsall

LLWLLDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Bristol City England EFL Cup	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
01/08	Notts County UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	1	0	D
25/07	AFC Telford UK Friendlies	0-1	0-1	4	0	L
21/07	Aston Villa Elite Club Friendlies	0-3	0-5	6	0	L
11/07	Leamington UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
02/05	Bromley England League 2	0-1	1-3	5	4	L
25/04	Harrogate Town England League 2	0-1	0-2	10	5	L
18/04	Barrow England League 2	2-0	3-1	3	1	W
11/04	Cheltenham England League 2	0-0	0-4	0	3	L
06/04	Swindon England League 2	0-0	1-2	8	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gillingham vs Walsall?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gillingham win (43%). Probabilities: Gillingham 43%, draw 28%, Walsall 29%.

How many goals are expected in Gillingham vs Walsall?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Gillingham 1.42 · Walsall 1.14), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gillingham vs Walsall?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.