Football · England League 2 · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Barnet vs Salford City

Team pages: Barnet · Salford City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Barnet1.4

Salford City1.31

1X2

38% 29% 34%

Barnet Draw Salford City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Barnet 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDLDDL

Salford City 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWWWDD

Head-to-head

Barnet 0–1–3 Salford City (4 last)

Salford City2-0Barnet
Barnet1-3Salford City
Salford City0-0Barnet
Barnet1-3Salford City

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barnet 1502 · Salford City 1574

	Barnet	Draw	Salford City
Our model	38%	28%	34%
Market	37%	29%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Salford City (rating 1502 vs 1574).
H2H favours Salford City: 3-1-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barnet	Salford City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.10

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.05

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.27
2	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 3.07 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:18	2.45	3.10	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:17 +1’	2.33	3.27	3.07

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnet 0–1–3 Salford City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 England League 2	Salford City	2-0 HT 2-0	Barnet
20/12/25 England League 2	Barnet	1-3 HT 0-2	Salford City
23/03/19 England National League	Salford City	0-0 HT 0-0	Barnet
30/10/18 England National League	Barnet	1-3 HT 1-1	Salford City

Standings · England League 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	York	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Accrington Stanley	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Crawley Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Fleetwood Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Newport County	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rochdale	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Salford City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Barnet

WWWWDDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Cambridge Utd England EFL Cup	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
01/08	Bromley UK Friendlies	1-1	1-1	10	0	D
28/07	Milton Keynes Dons UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
25/07	Oxford Utd UK Friendlies	0-1	1-2	2	2	L
18/07	Luton UK Friendlies	1-1	2-2	7	0	D
14/07	Watford UK Friendlies	1-1	2-2	4	0	D
11/07	Hemel Hempstead Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
07/07	Hitchin UK Friendlies	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/05	Harrogate Town England League 2	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
25/04	Gillingham England League 2	5-1	6-2	9	4	W

Salford City

WDWLLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Shrewsbury England EFL Cup	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
01/08	Bradford UK Friendlies	1-1	2-2	5	0	D
28/07	Carlisle UK Friendlies	1-0	2-0	0	0	W
25/07	Dundee Utd UK Friendlies	2-0	3-2	6	3	W
18/07	FC United of Manchester UK Friendlies	1-0	4-1	9	1	W
25/05	Notts County England League 2	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
15/05	Grimsby England League 2	0-0	1-2	8	2	L
10/05	Grimsby England League 2	2-1	2-1	4	4	W
02/05	Crawley Town England League 2	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
23/04	Bromley England League 2	0-0	2-0	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barnet vs Salford City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnet win (38%). Probabilities: Barnet 38%, draw 29%, Salford City 34%.

How many goals are expected in Barnet vs Salford City?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Barnet 1.4 · Salford City 1.31), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Barnet vs Salford City?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.