Football · England League 2 · 15/08, 16:00
Prediction: Accrington Stanley vs Colchester
Team pages: Accrington Stanley · Colchester
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Accrington Stanley1.23
Colchester1.09
1X2
Accrington Stanley
Draw
Colchester
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Accrington Stanley
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Colchester
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Accrington Stanley
2–2–2
Colchester
(6 last)
- Colchester2-1Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley1-0Colchester
- Colchester0-2Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley1-1Colchester
- Colchester1-1Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley0-1Colchester
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Accrington Stanley 1510 · Colchester 1482
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Accrington Stanley | Colchester | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.9 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Accrington Stanley 2–2–2 Colchester
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 England League 2 | Colchester | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 13/09/25 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Colchester |
| 04/01/25 England League 2 | Colchester | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Accrington Stanley |
| 31/08/24 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Colchester |
| 17/02/24 England League 2 | Colchester | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Accrington Stanley |
| 28/10/23 England League 2 | Accrington Stanley | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colchester |
Standings · England League 2
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Accrington Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barnet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cheltenham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Colchester | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crawley Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Crewe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fleetwood Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gillingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Grimsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Oldham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rochdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Salford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Shrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Swindon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tranmere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Walsall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Accrington Stanley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Crewe England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Sheff Wed UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | Bury UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Chorley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Bradford UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Blackburn UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Oldham England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Crawley Town England League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Colchester England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Colchester
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Southampton England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Stevenage UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Charlton UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/07 | West Ham U21 Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 21/07 | Peterborough UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Harlow Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/07 | Heybridge Swifts Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Norwich Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Accrington Stanley vs Colchester?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Accrington Stanley win (39%). Probabilities: Accrington Stanley 39%, draw 30%, Colchester 32%.
How many goals are expected in Accrington Stanley vs Colchester?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Accrington Stanley 1.23 · Colchester 1.09), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Accrington Stanley vs Colchester?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.