Football · Russia Premier League · 17/10, 13:00
Prediction: Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel Voronezh
Team pages: Krylia Sovetov · Fakel Voronezh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Krylia Sovetov1.52
Fakel Voronezh0.86
1X2
Krylia Sovetov
Draw
Fakel Voronezh
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Krylia Sovetov
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Fakel Voronezh
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krylia Sovetov
4–1–1
Fakel Voronezh
(6 last)
- Fakel Voronezh1-1Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov2-0Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh0-1Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov3-0Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh2-1Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov1-0Fakel Voronezh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krylia Sovetov (rating 1485 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Krylia Sovetov: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krylia Sovetov | Fakel Voronezh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.9 | – / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krylia Sovetov 4–1–1 Fakel Voronezh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/25 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 11/08/24 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 25/04/24 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 02/09/23 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 28/05/23 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 27/11/22 Russia Cup | Krylia Sovetov | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 12 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 11 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krylia Sovetov | Fakel Voronezh |
|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 D | 0-5 L |
| Krasnodar | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-3 D | 0-0 D |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 5 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Krylia Sovetov (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krylia Sovetov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 11/09 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
Fakel Voronezh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel Voronezh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krylia Sovetov win (52%). Probabilities: Krylia Sovetov 52%, draw 28%, Fakel Voronezh 20%.
How many goals are expected in Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel Voronezh?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Krylia Sovetov 1.52 · Fakel Voronezh 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Krylia Sovetov vs Fakel Voronezh?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.