Football · Russia Premier League · 01/11, 17:45
Prediction: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
Team pages: Lokomotiv Moscow · Spartak Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Lokomotiv Moscow1.32
Spartak Moscow1.69
1X2
Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw
Spartak Moscow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Moscow
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Spartak Moscow
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Moscow
2–4
Spartak Moscow
(6 last)
- Spartak Moscow2-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow2-3Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow3-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow4-2Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow5-2Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow3-1Spartak Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1463 vs 1574).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 2.7 | – / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 5.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Moscow 2–0–4 Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 26/11/25 Russia Cup | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 06/11/25 Russia Cup | Spartak Moscow | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 09/08/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 23/11/24 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 5-2 HT 3-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 28/09/24 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 23 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 16 |
| 7 | Rostov | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 15 |
| 8 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 9 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
| 10 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 12 | Akron Tolyatti | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 9 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 6 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv Moscow | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Rostov | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Krasnodar | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Fakel Voronezh | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| CSKA Moscow | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| FC Orenburg | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Moscow (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 23/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Moscow win (45%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Moscow 29%, draw 26%, Spartak Moscow 45%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
The model expects 3 goals (Lokomotiv Moscow 1.32 · Spartak Moscow 1.69), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Spartak Moscow?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.